|

USD/JPY extends intraday rejection slide from 110.00 handle, falls to fresh session low

   •  A global risk-aversion trade underpins JPY and prompts fresh selling.
   •  A modest USD retracement from 2-week tops adds to the intraday fall.
   •  Speeches by FOMC members will now be looked upon for some impetus.

The USD/JPY pair faded an early European session spike to levels just above the 110.00 handle and dropped to a fresh session low, around the 109.60 region in the last hour.

The pair continued with its struggle to make it through the key psychological mark, with a fresh wave of global risk-aversion trade underpinning the Japanese Yen's safe-haven demand and creating bearish pressure on the major.

The risk-off mood, as depicted by a sea of red across equity markets, was further reinforced by sliding US Treasury bond yields, which prompted some US Dollar profit-taking near two-week tops and further collaborated to the pair's intraday slide.

Despite the pull-back, the pair remains well within a narrow trading range held since the beginning of this week and hence, it would be prudent to wait for a convincing breakthrough in either direction before positioning for the near-term trajectory.

Moving ahead, today's scheduled speech by influential FOMC members - Fed Governor Richard Clarida and Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan will now be looked upon for some fresh impetus during the early North-American session. 

Technical outlook

Valeria Bednarik, FXStreet's own American Chief Analyst writes: “The pair remains trapped in a well-limited range just below the 110.00 level, with technical indicators in the 4 hours chart losing upward strength. Bulls will be in charge on a break above 110.16, the yearly high posted earlier this week.”

She further adds, “the pair remains above the 100 and 200 SMA, with the shortest aiming to advance beyond the larger one, both around 109.40. If the pair accelerates its decline below this last, bulls will start to give up, to finally capitulate if the pair losses 109.05, a strong Fibonacci support.”
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD bounces off lows, back above 1.3200

After bottoming out near 1.3160, GBP/USD manages to regain a bit of shine and reclaim the 1.3200 mark and beyond at the end of the week. Stronger-than-expected UK Retail Sales data seem to be helping the British Pound limit its losses, while the chaotic UK political environment keeps the bulls at bay for now.

EUR/USD looks consolidative around 1.1460

EUR/USD stages a modest rebound after slipping to a three-month low below 1.1420 at the end of the week. That said, the pair now looks to consolidate humble gains just above 1.1460 despite growing uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations, which keeps the US Dollar’s downside contained.

Gold slips back to six-day lows, targets $4,100

Gold retreats for the third consecutive day on Friday, eroding gains seen in the first half of the week and approaching the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce. Indeed, the precious metal continues to face headwinds from the Fed's hawkish stance and renewed uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations.

Breaking: Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz amid ceasefire deal violation
Iran says it is closing the Strait of Hormuz after accusing the United States (US) and Israel of violating the ceasefire. According to Iran, the decision came over the continued Israeli strikes in Lebanon. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy issued a warning to all vessels: "Do not approach the Strait of Hormuz; otherwise, your security will be jeopardized."
The Iran war didn't break the US economy, but what happens next?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.