|

USD/JPY defies resurgent USD demand, drops to session low

The USD/JPY pair snapped two consecutive days of winning streak and traded with bearish bias through Asian session on Wednesday.

The pair remained under some selling pressure as traders seemed to readjust their positions ahead of today's key event risk - the FOMC meeting minutes. Moreover, the pair defied broad based greenback recovery, with the key US Dollar Index reversing early losses and touching multi-week highs near 101.50 region, and touched a fresh session low level of 113.30 during early European session. 

Even the prevalent risk-on mood, as depicted by positive trading sentiment surrounding equity markets, which tends to dent the Japanese Yen's safe-haven appeal, has failed to lend any support and hinder the pair's reversal from three-day high touched on Tuesday.

Investors on Wednesday keenly await the release of minutes from the Fed’s latest monetary policy meeting for fresh clues over the central bank's near-term monetary policy outlook. Today’s minutes would also assist investors gauge possibilities of a rate-hike action at the Fed’s upcoming meeting in March, which would eventually help in determining the pair’s next leg of directional move. 

Technical levels to watch

A follow through retracement below 113.25 level is likely to accelerate the slide towards 113.00 handle ahead of 112.85 horizontal support below which the pair is likely to head towards testing 112.40 strong support area.

On the upside, 113.70-75 region now seems to have emerged as immediate resistance, which if cleared decisively is likely to boost the pair beyond 114.00 handle towards testing its next resistance near 114.25-30 region, en-route 50-day SMA strong hurdle near 114.90-115.00 psychological mark.

1 Week
Avg Forecast 112.65
100.0%66.0%33.0%03040506070809010000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 33% Bullish
  • 33% Bearish
  • 33% Sideways
Bias Neutral
1 Month
Avg Forecast 114.51
100.0%70.0%62.0%0606570758085909510000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 62% Bullish
  • 8% Bearish
  • 31% Sideways
Bias Bullish
1 Quarter
Avg Forecast 115.76
100.0%61.0%61.0%0606570758085909510000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 61% Bullish
  • 0% Bearish
  • 39% Sideways
Bias Bullish

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.