USD/JPY consolidates in a range near multi-week tops, FOMC awaited

  • Fading safe-haven demand undermined the JPY and helped regain traction.
  • A modest pickup in the USD demand remained supportive of the uptick.
  • Bulls lacked strong conviction ahead of the much-awaited FOMC decision.

The USD/JPY pair lacked any firm directional bias and remained confined in a narrow trading band, comfortably above the 108.00 handle, through the early European session on Wednesday.
After the previous session's intraday pullback from multi-week tops, the pair managed to regain some positive traction on Wednesday. The overnight comments by Saudi Arabia's energy minister, saying that the kingdom has tapped inventories to restore oil supplies, helped lift the global risk sentiment and dented the Japanese Yen's safe-haven demand.

Focus remains on FOMC decision

Bullish traders seemed unaffected by Wednesday's release of slightly better-than-expected Japanese August month trade data, rather took cues from a modest pickup in the US Dollar demand, though lacked any strong conviction and refrain from placing aggressive bets as the focus remains firmly on the highly anticipated FOMC monetary policy decision.
The Fed is widely expected to cut interest rates by another 25 bps at the conclusion of a two-day monetary policy meeting this Wednesday and the move is largely priced in the market. Hence, investors will closely scrutinize the accompanying policy statement and updated economic projection for fresh clues over the central bank's near-term monetary policy outlook.
This will be followed by the post-meeting press conference, where the Fed Chair Jerome Powell's comments will play a key role in determining the pair's next leg of a directional move. Meanwhile, any knee-jerk slide is more likely to be used as a buying opportunity amid the recent encouraging US-China trade developments.

Technical levels to watch


Today last price 108.22
Today Daily Change 0.11
Today Daily Change % 0.10
Today daily open 108.11
Daily SMA20 106.83
Daily SMA50 107.12
Daily SMA100 108.05
Daily SMA200 109.38
Previous Daily High 108.37
Previous Daily Low 108.02
Previous Weekly High 108.26
Previous Weekly Low 106.76
Previous Monthly High 109.32
Previous Monthly Low 104.45
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 108.16
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 108.24
Daily Pivot Point S1 107.97
Daily Pivot Point S2 107.82
Daily Pivot Point S3 107.62
Daily Pivot Point R1 108.32
Daily Pivot Point R2 108.52
Daily Pivot Point R3 108.67



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