|

USD/JPY consolidates in a range, around mid-106.00s

   •  Fading Fed rate hike expectations/US political news keeps USD on the back-foot.
   •  Fears of a global trade war revive on Trump’s plan to impose tariffs on China.

The USD/JPY pair stalled overnight sharp retracement slide from near two-week tops and was now seen consolidating in a range, around mid-106.00s.

Renewed US Dollar selling pressure remained unabated through the Asian session on Wednesday and was being further weighed down by the US President Donald Trump's plans to impose tariffs on China. 

Against the backdrop of fading expectations over a steep Fed monetary policy tightening cycle, coupled with news of Rex Tillerson's ouster as the US Secretary of State, reviving global trade war fears continued exerting downward pressure on the greenback and failed to lend any support to the major.

Despite the negative factors, the pair has managed to hold within previous session's broader trading range as investors now look forward to a fresh batch of US economic data - monthly retail sales and the latest PPI figures, for some fresh impetus.

Technical outlook

Omkar Godbole, Analyst and Editor at FXStreet writes, “yesterday's retreat from 107.29 to 106.30 has put pressure back on the bulls. A negative follow-through (preferably a close below 106.25) would signal the rally from 105.25 (March 2 low) has ended at 107.29 (yesterday's high) and could yield a re-test of 105.25 - 105.00.”

“The pullback from 107.29 to 106.30 is discouraging, however, the descending trendline support (former resistance breached on March 9) is still intact. Further, the bullish crossover between the 5-day moving average (MA) and the 10-day MA indicates a short-term bullish setup. Meanwhile, on the 4-hour chart, 50-MA and 100-MA have shed bearish bias (bottomed out)”, he adds further.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flat lines below 1.1900; divergent Fed-ECB expectations offer support

The EUR/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from the 1.1835-1.1830 region and oscillates in a narrow band during the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1875 area, remaining nearly unchanged for the day and staying within striking distance of an over one-week high, reached on Tuesday, amid mixed cues.

GBP/USD slips heading into the Thursday trading window

The Pound Sterling pulled back from four-year highs on Wednesday, weighed down by a combination of Bank of England dovishness and UK political uncertainty, even as the US Dollar weakened on soft labor market revisions. 

Gold posts modest gains above $5,050 as US-Iran tensions persist despite strong labor data

Gold price trades in positive territory near $5,060 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal edges higher despite stronger-than-expected US employment data. The release of the US Consumer Price Index inflation report will take center stage later on Friday. 

Bitcoin holds steady despite strong US labour market

Bitcoin briefly bounced from $66,000 to above $68,000 but slightly reversed those gains following Wednesday's US January jobs report. The top crypto is hovering around $67,000, down 2% over the past 24 hours as of writing on Wednesday.

The market trades the path not the past

The payroll number did not just beat. It reset the tone. 130,000 vs. 65,000 expected, with a 35,000 whisper. 79 of 80 economists leaning the wrong way. Unemployment and underemployment are edging lower. For all the statistical fog around birth-death adjustments and seasonal quirks, the core message was unmistakable. The labour market is not cracking.

XRP sell-off deepens amid weak retail interest, risk-off sentiment

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower around $1.36 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by low retail interest and macroeconomic uncertainty, which is accelerating risk-off sentiment.