|

USD/JPY climbs higher toward 108.50 on upbeat market mood

  • Latest US-China trade headlines improve the sentiment on Monday. 
  • 10-year US Treasury bond yield is adding more than 2%.
  • US Dollar Index staged a modest recovery following last week's drop.

The USD/JPY pair lost 50 pips last week and started to retrace its drop on Monday. As of writing, the pair was trading at fresh session highs at 108.42, adding 0.25% on a daily basis.

Risk on flows return on Monday

United States (US) Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross on Monday said that the US was engaged in a "long-overdue reassessment" of the trade relationship with China and added that they had come very far along with phase one of the trade deal. Meanwhile, several news outlets reported that Ross met with Chinese Premier Li on the sideline of the ASEAN Summit.

Reflecting the upbeat market mood, the 10-year US Treasury bond yield is up more than 2% on Monday and the S&P 500 Futures is adding 0.5% to suggest that Wall Street's main indexes are likely to start the week on a positive note.

On the other hand, despite the upbeat labour market figures from the United States on Friday, the US Dollar Index closed the previous week 0.7% lower but seems to be staging a technical rebound on Monday. At the moment, the index is up 0.2% on the day at 97.32, allowing the bullish momentum to remain intact.

The ISM-NY Business Conditions Index and Factory Orders data will be featured in the US economic docket. Nevertheless, the risk perception is likely to remain as the primary driver of the pair's action.

Technical levels to watch for

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price108.4
Today Daily Change0.22
Today Daily Change %0.20
Today daily open108.18
 
Trends
Daily SMA20108.36
Daily SMA50107.69
Daily SMA100107.58
Daily SMA200109.04
 
Levels
Previous Daily High108.32
Previous Daily Low107.89
Previous Weekly High109.29
Previous Weekly Low107.89
Previous Monthly High109.29
Previous Monthly Low106.48
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%108.16
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%108.05
Daily Pivot Point S1107.93
Daily Pivot Point S2107.69
Daily Pivot Point S3107.49
Daily Pivot Point R1108.37
Daily Pivot Point R2108.57
Daily Pivot Point R3108.81

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD shifts its attention to 1.1900 and above

EUR/USD has shaken off Tuesday’s dip, pushing back beyond the 1.1800 mark amid decent gains as  Wednesday’s session draws to a close. The rebound is largely driven by a modest pullback in the US Dollar, as markets digest the aftermath of President Trump’s SOTU speech and continue to monitor trade-related headlines and signals from the White House.
 

GBP/USD challenges multi-day highs near 1.3530

GBP/USD leaves behind the previous day’s decline and regains fresh upside traction on Wednesday, surpassing the 1.3500 barrier in a context of a modest decline in the Greenback and a generalised improved mood in the risk-linked space. Meanwhile, the US tariff narrative continues to dictate the mood among market participants after Presidet Trump’s SOTU speech failed to surprise markets.

Gold remains bid and close to $5,200

Gold buyers are returning to the fold on Wednesday, targeting the $5,200 area and possibly beyond, after Tuesday’s corrective dip from monthly highs. The rebound in the precious metal comes as the US Dollar loses traction, with Trump’s SOTU speech offering little fresh direction and AI-related nerves continuing to ease.

UK financial watchdog advances stablecoin oversight as four firms pilot issuance

The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the United Kingdom (UK) is advancing toward the final stablecoin regulatory framework with a pilot program involving four companies, including Monee, Financial Technologies ReStabilise, Revolut and VVTX.

Nvidia earnings to influence AI trade and broader market sentiment

For the last three years, Nvidia has been the engine of the AI boom, and now Wall Street is watching to see whether that momentum can keep going. High-growth stocks have been struggling to maintain their bullish trend in 2026.

Cosmos Hub Price Forecast: ATOM rebounds slightly, bearish outlook remains intact

Cosmos Hub (ATOM) price rebounds, trading above $2.05 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after undergoing a sharp correction since last week. Weakening on-chain and derivatives data support a bearish outlook, while technical analysis remains unfavorable.