|

USD/JPY climbs as BoJ dovishness weighs on Yen, US data in focus

  • USD/JPY climbs toward 155.40 on Tuesday, posting a modest daily gain in a cautious, risk-off environment.
  • Traders await ADP employment figures and US Factory Orders to refine short-term US Dollar expectations.
  • The JPY remains under pressure due to the BoJ's dovish stance, despite renewed warnings about potential FX intervention.

USD/JPY trades around 155.40 on Tuesday at the time of writing, up 0.10% on the day and reaching a fresh ten-month high. The pair benefits from a slightly firmer US Dollar (USD) amid a cautious market mood, while the Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to weaken under the weight of Japan’s ultra-loose monetary policy.

The US Dollar shows a mild upward bias as investors remain hesitant to take strong directional positions ahead of a backlog of US economic reports delayed by the recent government shutdown. Markets are watching Tuesday’s ADP weekly employment reading and the US Factory Orders release, which could shape the Greenback’s near-term direction before Thursday’s highly anticipated Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report for September.

Monday’s US data also supported the US Dollar. The Empire State Manufacturing Index sharply beat expectations, climbing to its highest level in nearly one year in November, while construction spending surprised to the upside in August. Together, these figures point to a resilient US economy despite administrative disruptions.

Still, some remarks from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials encourage caution. Governor Christopher Waller warned that rapid adoption of Artificial Intelligence technology could reduce demand for labor, potentially forcing the Fed to ease policy sooner if the job market weakens. Even so, expectations for a December rate cut remain below 50%, with investors awaiting additional data in the coming days.

Markets will also monitor upcoming comments from Fed Governor Michael Barr and Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin for further clues regarding the December meeting.

In Japan, the JPY remains under pressure. The currency is weighed down by the persistently dovish stance of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), after Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi urged the central bank to maintain very low interest rates to support growth. This political message reinforces the view that any further tightening may be delayed, especially following Japan’s third-quarter GDP contraction.

According to Nikkei Asia, Tokyo is also considering tax cuts aimed at boosting consumption, a move that raises questions about fiscal sustainability and further undermines the Japanese Yen’s appeal. Even so, recent warnings from Japanese officials have helped limit extreme bearish positioning. Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama reiterated concerns over “one-sided, rapid” currency moves, keeping speculation about possible intervention alive.

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the British Pound.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.00%0.04%0.02%-0.17%-0.16%-0.12%-0.00%
EUR-0.01%0.03%0.00%-0.17%-0.17%-0.12%-0.01%
GBP-0.04%-0.03%-0.04%-0.21%-0.20%-0.15%-0.04%
JPY-0.02%0.00%0.04%-0.17%-0.16%-0.13%-0.00%
CAD0.17%0.17%0.21%0.17%0.01%0.05%0.17%
AUD0.16%0.17%0.20%0.16%-0.01%0.04%0.17%
NZD0.12%0.12%0.15%0.13%-0.05%-0.04%0.12%
CHF0.00%0.00%0.04%0.00%-0.17%-0.17%-0.12%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Ghiles Guezout

Ghiles Guezout is a Market Analyst with a strong background in stock market investments, trading, and cryptocurrencies. He combines fundamental and technical analysis skills to identify market opportunities.

More from Ghiles Guezout
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD bounces off lows, back above 1.3200

After bottoming out near 1.3160, GBP/USD manages to regain a bit of shine and reclaim the 1.3200 mark and beyond at the end of the week. Stronger-than-expected UK Retail Sales data seem to be helping the British Pound limit its losses, while the chaotic UK political environment keeps the bulls at bay for now.

EUR/USD looks consolidative around 1.1460

EUR/USD stages a modest rebound after slipping to a three-month low below 1.1420 at the end of the week. That said, the pair now looks to consolidate humble gains just above 1.1460 despite growing uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations, which keeps the US Dollar’s downside contained.

Gold slips back to six-day lows, targets $4,100

Gold retreats for the third consecutive day on Friday, eroding gains seen in the first half of the week and approaching the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce. Indeed, the precious metal continues to face headwinds from the Fed's hawkish stance and renewed uncertainty surrounding the next round of US-Iran negotiations.

Breaking: Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz amid ceasefire deal violation
Iran says it is closing the Strait of Hormuz after accusing the United States (US) and Israel of violating the ceasefire. According to Iran, the decision came over the continued Israeli strikes in Lebanon. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy issued a warning to all vessels: "Do not approach the Strait of Hormuz; otherwise, your security will be jeopardized."
The Iran war didn't break the US economy, but what happens next?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.