|

USD/JPY climbing back towards 150.00 after US CPI inflation beat kicks off a round of risk aversion

  • The USD/JPY climbed on Thursday, extending a bullish recovery for the pair.
  • The US Dollar is inching towards the 150.00 level once again as the Greenback climbs on risk-off markets.
  • US CPI inflation data beat has markets worried that the Fed will keep interest rates higher and longer than previously anticipated.

The USD/JPY is hanging close to Thursday's highs of 149.83, inches away from retesting the 150.00 major handle, a price level that has drawn interest from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) for FX market intervention in the past.

Forex Today: The Dollar reclaims the throne after US inflation reports

Japan's Producer Price Index (PPI) and Machinery Orders data fell short of expectations on Wednesday. September's Japan PPI recorded a discouraging -0.3%, failing to the meet the anticipated 0.1% increase and marking a decline from the preceding month's 0.3% figure.

Additionally, Machinery Order for August saw a decline of 0.5%, showing an improvement from the prior reading of -1.1%, but still falling notably below the projected figure of 0.4%.

In September, the annual US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rate registered at 3.7%, beating the market consensus of 3.6%.

Initial Jobless Claims experienced a slight increase to 209K, marginally lower than the market forecast of 210K. 

Better-than-expected economic data, combined with inflation that continues to surpass market expectations, see investors worried about the increased likelihood of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) holding interest rates higher for even longer than previously expected.

Friday's market session sees nothing from Japan on the economic calendar, and markets will be looking to close out the trading following a reading of the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for October, due at 14:00 GMT and expected to retreat slightly from 68.1 to 64.7.

USD/JPY Technical Outlook

The USD/JPY is hanging close to Thursday's highs of 149.83, just inches away from the 150.00 major handle. The pair is well-bid off the day's early lows near 148.95, and USD/JPY gained 0.42% on Thursday to close out trading just shy of 149.80.

Hourly candlesticks sees the USD/JPY accelerating away from median price points, with intraday price action trading well north of the 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) with the 50-hour SMA confirming a bullish crossover of the longer moving average.

On the daily candles the USD/JPY remains firmly bullish, with the pair knocking on the year's highs and trending well into bullish territory, with technical support coming from the 50-day SMA, currently rising into the 147.00 major handle.

USD/JPY Hourly Chart

USD/JPY Daily Chart

USD/JPY Technical Levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price149.77
Today Daily Change0.61
Today Daily Change %0.41
Today daily open149.16
 
Trends
Daily SMA20148.68
Daily SMA50146.87
Daily SMA100144.04
Daily SMA200138.7
 
Levels
Previous Daily High149.32
Previous Daily Low148.43
Previous Weekly High150.16
Previous Weekly Low147.32
Previous Monthly High149.71
Previous Monthly Low144.44
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%148.98
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%148.77
Daily Pivot Point S1148.62
Daily Pivot Point S2148.07
Daily Pivot Point S3147.72
Daily Pivot Point R1149.52
Daily Pivot Point R2149.87
Daily Pivot Point R3150.42

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances to the area of daily peaks north of the 1.1800 barrier at the end of the week. The pair’s decent move higher comes against the backdrop of a generalised lack of direction in the FX galaxy and the mild offered stance in the US Dollar.

GBP/USD trims losses, retests 1.3460

After briefly challenging its key 200-day SMA near 1.3440, GBP/USD now manages to regain some balance and revisit the 1.3460 zone on Friday. Cable’s pullback comes as the selling pressure on the Greenback gathers traction, reigniting some recovery in the risk-linked space.

Gold flirts with four-week highs past $5,200

Gold extends its rebound, climbing for a third consecutive session and pushing back above the $5,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The move higher continues to draw support from lingering geopolitical tensions and the ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade policy, both of which are keeping safe-haven demand firmly in play.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary. 

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.