|

USD/JPY advances to 109.70 as USD gathers strength on upbeat data

  • The US Dollar Index recovers above 94 in the NA session.
  • USD/JPY turns positive on the day.
  • 10-year US T-bond yields up nearly 1%.

The USD/JPY pair, which was able to close the previous week flat after a decisive recovery in the second half of the week, eased to a daily low of 109.37 during the European morning before reversing its course and advancing into the positive territory in the last hour. As of writing, the pair was trading at 109.70, adding 0.15% on the day.

The pair's price action on Monday seems to be dominated by the USD's market valuation. The US Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six trade-weighted peers, renewed its 10-day low at 93.63 earlier today before gaining traction on an upbeat macroeconomic data release from the United States. At the moment, the index is at 94, slightly below its opening level. The data released by the ISM-NY showed that the headline Current Business Conditions index improved to 66.9 in May from 64.3 in April.

On the other hand,  as a traditional safe-haven, the JPY is struggling to show resilience against the buck with the risk-on mood starting to take control of the markets. 

Both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 is now successfully building on last Friday's gains by gaining 0.75% and 0.35% respectively. Furthermore, the 10-year T-bond yields, which show a strong positive correlation with the USD/JPY pair, is now up around 1%.

Technical levels to consider

On the upside, the immediate resistance is located at 109.80 (20-DMA). A decisive break above this level could open the door for further gains toward the critical 109.95/110 (200-DMA/psychological level) area ahead of 110.45 (May 15 high). On the downside, supports could be seen at 109.40 (Jun. 4 low), 108.90 (50-DMA) and 107.75 (100-DMA).

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.