|

USD/INR Price News: Marches towards 76.50 amid rising oil prices and negative impulse

  • USD/INR is aiming towards 76.50 on advancing oil rises and US Treasury yields.
  • Risk-off impulse has underpinned the demand for safe-haven assets.
  • Raising bets over an aggressive rate policy and hawkish guidance are pushing the yields higher.

The USD/INR pair is gauging a direction on Monday after a long holiday-truncated week. Three trading sessions took place last amid holidays on account of Dr. Baba Saheb Jayanti on Thursday and Good Friday. A rebound in the oil prices and weak Asian markets are denting the demand for the Indian rupee.

Oil prices have rebounded sharply after the lockdown restrictions ease in China. The relaxation in the movement of men, materials, and machines has underpinned the oil prices. China, being the largest importer of fossil fuels carries strong weightage on the oil prices. Also, India is a leading importer of oil, and higher energy bills are indicating a widening fiscal deficit for its economy.

Meanwhile, risk-off impulse amid uncertainty in the global indices is strengthening the US dollar index (DXY).  The DXY is eyeing to recapture its previous week’s high at 100.76, which will reinforce the DXY further. Also, the expectations over the rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) are advancing as we are approaching to monetary policy announcement by the Fed, which is scheduled in May. The 10-year US Treasury yields registered a fresh three-year high at 2.88% on Monday. The 10-year benchmark yields are up 2.9% on Monday amid higher odds of an aggressive interest rate policy and hawkish guidance.

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sticks to neutral bias above 0.7100 amid cautious markets

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Monday as the US Dollar stalls its modest pullback from the highest level since late July amid persistent geopolitical uncertainties. The PBOC status quo on Loan Prime Rates also weighs on the Aussie. However, bets on another RBA rate hike continue to underpin the Australian Dollar ahead of the Trump-Xi Summit.

USD/JPY eases below 157.00 amid looming intervention risks

USD/JPY is easing back below 157.00 in Asia on Monday, undermined by modest Japanese Yen strength amid looming intervention risks after Friday's BoJ rate check. A Japanese holiday also keeps traders on edge amid escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and in the Middle East. As a result, the US Dollar pauses its pullback, limiting the pair's downside.

Gold starts week on the back foot as US Dollar holds firm, Oil decline limits losses

Gold (XAU/USD) starts the week on a bearish note, snapping a two-day winning streak as expectations of additional Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hikes and a firmer US Dollar (USD) limit the upside.

Bitcoin hits $85,000 for the first time in eight months
Bitcoin price reclaims $85,000 on Monday, advancing last week’s 5% recovery toward an eight-month high. The recovery in King Crypto aligns with renewed institutional demand, with Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording $433 million in inflows on Friday.
The week ahead: Fuel prices in focus as we lead up to key eco releases

Financial markets are in a strange position as we move to the final weeks of Q3, uncertainty and volatility continue to grip markets, but the oil price is falling; and European and US stocks are poised to open higher later on Monday. Market stresses are concentrated in sovereign bonds, and European and US yields had another scare late on Friday, and moved higher.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.