USD/INR Price Analysis: Indian rupee bulls need validation from 21-DMA


  • USD/INR prints four-day downtrend, refreshes intraday low of late.
  • MACD signals turn bearish for the first time since November 22, break of 75.65 adds to the bearish bias.
  • Convergence of 100-DMA, ascending trend line from September appears a tough nut to crack for pair sellers.

USD/INR stands on the slippery ground near 75.50, down 0.22% intraday while printing a four-day fall heading into Wednesday’s European session.

The Indian rupee (INR) pair’s latest losses could be linked to its declines below the double-tops marked during April and October, around 75.65. Adding to the bearish bias is the recently flashed red MACD signal.

However, the 21-DMA level surrounding 75.45 challenges short-term downside ahead of directing the USD/INR bears to November’s high of 75.19 and July’s peak of 75.00.

It should be noted, however, that the pair’s weakness past 75.00 will be challenged by the 100-DMA and a three-month-old rising support line, near 74.50.

On the flip side, a daily closing beyond 75.65 will aim for the 76.00 threshold but the 76.30 level could test the USD/INR bulls afterward.

In a case where the pair buyers dominate past 76.30, the recently flashed multi-month high near 76.60 and the 77.00 will be in focus.

USD/INR: Daily chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 75.4898
Today Daily Change -0.1808
Today Daily Change % -0.24%
Today daily open 75.6706
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 75.4489
Daily SMA50 74.9668
Daily SMA100 74.4917
Daily SMA200 74.1648
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 75.791
Previous Daily Low 75.422
Previous Weekly High 76.5958
Previous Weekly Low 75.556
Previous Monthly High 75.1908
Previous Monthly Low 73.8515
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 75.563
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 75.65
Daily Pivot Point S1 75.4647
Daily Pivot Point S2 75.2589
Daily Pivot Point S3 75.0957
Daily Pivot Point R1 75.8337
Daily Pivot Point R2 75.9969
Daily Pivot Point R3 76.2027

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650

EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650

EUR/USD gained traction and turned positive on the day above 1.0650. The improvement seen in risk mood following the earlier flight to safety weighs on the US Dollar ahead of the weekend and helps the pair push higher.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD reversed its direction and advanced to the 1.2450 area after touching a fresh multi-month low below 1.2400 in the Asian session. The positive shift seen in risk mood on easing fears over a deepening Iran-Israel conflict supports the pair.

GBP/USD News

Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike

Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike

Gold stabilized near $2,380 after spiking above $2,400 with the immediate reaction to reports of Israel striking Iran. Meanwhile, the pullback seen in the US Treasury bond yields helps XAU/USD hold its ground.

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in

Bitcoin price shows no signs of directional bias while it holds above  $60,000. The fourth BTC halving is partially priced in, according to Deutsche Bank’s research. 

Read more

Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda

Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda

US GDP, core PCE and PMIs the next tests for the Dollar. Investors await BoJ for guidance about next rate hike. EU and UK PMIs, as well as Australian CPIs also on tap.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures