USD/INR drops to fresh multi-week lows below 71 ahead of NFP

  • USD/INR loses traction after consolidating above 71 during Asian session.
  • Experts expect rupee to weaken over 1% against USD in 2020.
  • Coming up: US Nonfarm Payrolls data for December.

After moving sideways in a relatively tight range above the 71 handle during the first half of the day, the USD/INR pair came under renewed pressure in the last hours and touched its lowest level since mid-December at 70.853. As of writing, the pair was down 0.35% on a daily basis at 70.958.

EM currencies capitalize on risk-on flows

Improved market sentiment amid easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East help emerging market (EM) currencies such as the INR find demand in the second half of the week. 

However, a recently conducted Reuters poll showed that market experts don't expect the rupee to outperform the USD in 2020. According to a January 3-9 survey of over 50 strategists, the rupee is expected to lose more than 1% against the greenback in a 12-month view with the USD/INR pair rising to 72 in that period.

Later in the day, the monthly Nonfarm Payrolls report from the US will be looked upon for fresh impetus. Ahead of the data, the US Dollar Index is up 0.08% on the day at 97.50.

Previewing the data, "we expect headline job gains to be on the weak side, but recommend looking through such weakness, as it would likely be due to adverse seasonal effects,” said Standard Chartered analysts.

US NFP Preview: 8 Major Banks expectations from December payrolls report

Technical levels to watch for


Today last price 70.9685
Today Daily Change -0.2295
Today Daily Change % -0.32
Today daily open 71.198
Daily SMA20 71.2763
Daily SMA50 71.3506
Daily SMA100 71.3056
Daily SMA200 70.4665
Previous Daily High 71.655
Previous Daily Low 71.122
Previous Weekly High 72.0638
Previous Weekly Low 71.1005
Previous Monthly High 71.98
Previous Monthly Low 70.328
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 71.3256
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 71.4514
Daily Pivot Point S1 70.995
Daily Pivot Point S2 70.792
Daily Pivot Point S3 70.462
Daily Pivot Point R1 71.528
Daily Pivot Point R2 71.858
Daily Pivot Point R3 72.061



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