|

USD Index Price Analysis: Immediately to the downside comes 103.00

  • DXY resumes the decline and drops to new lows.
  • The 103.00 zone emerges as the next support.

DXY leaves behind Friday’s decent advance and refocuses on the downside, clocking at the same time new multi-week lows in the 103.25/20 band on Monday.                                                                                            

In case the index extends the retracement, it could then put the transitory 100-day SMA around 103.00 to the test ahead of the provisional 55-day SMA at 102.52.

Looking at the broader picture, while below the 200-day SMA at 105.42 the outlook for the index is expected to remain negative.

DXY daily chart

Dollar Index Spot

Overview
Today last price103.45
Today Daily Change46
Today Daily Change %-0.10
Today daily open103.55
 
Trends
Daily SMA20103.66
Daily SMA50102.52
Daily SMA100103
Daily SMA200105.29
 
Levels
Previous Daily High103.61
Previous Daily Low103.29
Previous Weekly High104.4
Previous Weekly Low103.29
Previous Monthly High104.7
Previous Monthly Low101.03
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%103.49
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%103.41
Daily Pivot Point S1103.36
Daily Pivot Point S2103.17
Daily Pivot Point S3103.05
Daily Pivot Point R1103.67
Daily Pivot Point R2103.8
Daily Pivot Point R3103.99

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD stays bid above 0.7100 on Australian trade data, Mideast optimism

AUD/USD clings to minor recovery gains above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Thursday as a new Israel-Lebanon ceasefire keeps a lid on the safe-haven US Dollar. Meanwhile, strong AustralianTrade Balane data also help the Aussie pair sustain the bounce from weekly lows.

USD/JPY hovers near the 160.00 intervention threshold on Mideast tensions

USD/JPY struggles to find acceptance above 160.00 and retreats from a one-month high in the Asian session on Thursday amid fears that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. Furthermore, a new Israel-Lebanon ceasefire caps the US Dollar and supports the currency pair. However, renewed US-Iran tensions keep the downside limited in the Greenback and the pair.

Gold rebounds from one-week low as Israel-Lebanon truce pressures safe-haven USD

Gold gains some positive traction on Thursday and climbs to the $4,475 area during the Asian session, reversing a major part of the previous day's slide to a one-week low. The Israel-Lebanon truce prompts some profit-taking around the US Dollar and supports the commodity. 


Ethereum: Long-term holders' capitulation drives ETH below $1,800

Ethereum has fallen below $1,800 on Wednesday, the first time since May 2025 following accelerated spot selling pressure and distributions from long-term holders. The Age Consumed metric, which tracks the movement of previously idle tokens or long-term holders' coins, spiked over the past two days as prices declined, indicating increased selling activity among this cohort.

Kevin Warsh takes the Fed helm: What it means for the US Dollar
The Federal Reserve moves away from the highly predictable "forward guidance" model of the Jerome Powell era to a new “Kevin Warsh environment”, characterized by less communication, more policy surprises, and an increased focus on the Fed's complex balance sheet.
Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.