|

USD/IDR technical analysis: Multiple barriers on the road to recovery, 4H 100MA be the first

  • USD/IDR has multiple key resistances to justify the latest strength that broke 50% Fibonacci retracement.
  • Buyers follow the pair’s sustained trading beyond 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, gradually rising RSI.

While sustained trading beyond 38.2% Fibonacci retracement currently propels the USD/IDR pair to flash 14,218 during the early Asian session on Thursday, the pair still has some key resistances to break in order to justify the latest strength.

Among the upside barriers, 100-hour moving average on the 4-hour chart (4H 100MA), becomes the first one to tackle at 14,233, a break of which can escalate the quote’s advances to 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of May-June decline at 14,311 and 200-hour moving average (4H 200MA) level around 14,321.

However, five-week-old descending trend-line near 14,343 may limit the pair’s rise past-14,321 if not then month’s top near 14,416 could lure the buyers.

Alternatively, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of 14,095 and a downward sloping trend-line since June 03, at 14,053 holds the gate for the pair’s slump to latest flash crash low around $13750.

USD/IDR 4-Hour chart

Trend: Pullback expected

    1. R3 14294.33
    2. R2  14240.67 
    3. R1 14202.33
  1. PP  14148.67
    1. S1  14110.33 
    2. S2 14056.67
    3. S3  14018.33

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers further from one-month low set on Friday, eyes mid-1.1800s on weaker USD

The EUR/USD pair is seen building on Friday's late recovery from the 1.1750-1.1740 region, or a nearly one-month trough, and gaining some follow-through positive traction at the start of a new week. The momentum lifts spot prices to the 1.1835 area during the Asian session and is sponsored by a broadly weaker US Dollar.

GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3500 amid tariff confusion

The GBP/USD pair gains traction to around 1.3520 during the early Asian session on Monday. The US Dollar faces some selling pressure against the Cable as tariff uncertainty lingers. Traders will take more cues from the US Producer Price Index report for January, which will be published later on Friday. 

Gold eyes a daily closing above key 61.8% Fibo resistance

Gold is adding over 1% early Monday, after having gained 2% on Friday. The bright metal scales key technical hurdles, as buyers stay strong amid renewed tariffs and economic uncertainty alongside looming US-Iran geopolitical tensions.

Top Crypto Losers: Zcash, Pump.fun, and LayerZero extended losses as Bitcoin loses $65,000

The cryptocurrency market starts the week in panic mode, with altcoins Zcash, Pump.fun, and LayerZero. Bitcoin falls below $65,000 as the US President Donald Trump regroups amid renewed trade policy risks.

Liberation day take two, the tariff machine just changed gears

Let me caveat this from the outset. What we are watching is first-order mechanics, not the grand macro endgame. This is the market’s immediate reflex to a 15% Trump tariff levy dressed up as judicial drama. The Supreme Court blocked Trump tarrif hammer. The White House came back with a scalpel.

Top Crypto Losers: Zcash, Pump.fun, and LayerZero extended losses as Bitcoin loses $65,000

The cryptocurrency market starts the week in panic mode, with altcoins Zcash, Pump.fun, and LayerZero. Bitcoin falls below $65,000 as the US President Donald Trump regroups amid renewed trade policy risks.