|

USD/CHF: Sustained loss under 0.8984 to augment downside pressure – DBS Bank

USD/CHF's price profile is now under all key moving averages. Benjamin Wong, Strategist at DBS Bank, signals a bearish USD skew and, therefore, expects the pair to break below the 0.8984 mark.  

USD bears are returning

“Momentum is starting to pick up for USD/CHF to re-engage to the downside, which aligns to recent demand for the pair of safe haven currencies, JPY and CHF. USD/CHF is now under all key moving averages on the daily chart (a norm for trend behaviour), and has staged a test of the 200-day moving average (DMA) at 0.9074.”

“The moving average convergence/divergence (MACD) signal is USD bearish, but there are two pertinent points to ponder over. Firstly, the tendency is now to sell rallies, referencing 0.9213 as the key resistance. On the downside, USD needs to stage a compression under the former neckline zone, and that means only an attack that busts under 0.9008 would turn out more muscular.”

“A break under the support line from 0.8758 (in green, around 0.8984) is all the market needs to drive USD lower. Look out for a 0.8984 break as a bearish flick of the switch.” 

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD onsolidates around mid-1.1800s as traders keenly await FOMC Minutes

The EUR/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the previous day's goodish rebound from the 1.1800 neighborhood, or a one-and-a-half-week low, and consolidates in a narrow band during the Asian session on Wednesday. Spot prices currently trade just below mid-1.1800s, nearly unchanged for the day.

GBP/USD bounces off lows, retargets 1.3550

After bottoming out just below the 1.3500 yardstick, GBP/USD now gathers some fresh bids and advances to the 1.3530-1.3540 band in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Cable’s recovery comes as the Greenback surrenders part of its advance, although it keeps the bullish bias well in place for the day.

Gold bounces back toward $4,900, looks to FOMC Minutes

Gold is attempting a bounce from the $4,850 level, having touched a one-week low on Tuesday. Signs of progress in US–Iran talks dented demand for the traditional safe-haven bullion, weighing on Gold in early trades. However, rising bets for more Fed rate cuts keep the US Dollar bulls on the defensive and act as a tailwind for the non-yielding yellow metal. Traders now seem reluctant ahead of the FOMC Minutes, which would offer cues about the Fed's rate-cut path and provide some meaningful impetus.

DeFi could lift crypto market from current bear phase: Bitwise

Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan hinted that the decentralized finance sector could lead the crypto market out of the current bear phase, citing Aave Labs’ latest community proposal as a potential signal of good things to come.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Ripple slides to $1.45 as downside risks surge

Ripple edges lower at the time of writing on Tuesday, from the daily open of $1.48, as headwinds persist across the crypto market. A short-term support is emerging at $1.45, but a buildup of bearish positions could further weaken the derivatives market and prolong the correction.