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USD/CHF struggles for direction, stuck in a range around mid-0.9100s

  • The risk-on mood undermined the safe-haven CHF and assisted USD/CHF to regain traction.
  • Dovish Fed expectations kept the USD bulls on the defensive and capped gains for the major.

The USD/CHF pair held on to its modest intraday gains through the first half of the European session and was last seen trading just a few pips above mid-0.9100s.

Following the previous day's sharp turnaround of around 50 pips from weekly tops, the USD/CHF pair regained positive traction on Thursday and was supported by a combination of factors. The underlying bullish sentiment – as depicted by a generally positive tone around the equity markets – continued undermining the safe-haven Swiss franc. This, in turn, was seen as a key factor that acted as a tailwind for the USD/CHF pair, though a subdued US dollar price action failed to provide any additional boost.

The USD languished near one-month lows amid uncertainty over the likely timing of the Fed's tapering plan and concerns about the US labour market recovery. The market worries were fueled by Wednesday's disappointing ADP report that showed the US private-sector employers hired far fewer workers than expected in August. Investors now seem convinced that the Fed will wait for a longer period before raising rates. This was evident from a modest pullback in the US Treasury bond yields, which kept the USD bulls on the defensive.

Hence, it will be prudent to wait for some strong follow-through buying before positioning for an extension of this week's rebound from the 0.9100 mark, or multi-week lows touched on Monday. Market participants now look forward to the US economic docket, featuring the release of Initial Weekly Jobless Claims. Apart from this, a scheduled speech by Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic might influence the USD. Traders might further take cues from the broader market risk sentiment for some opportunities around the USD/CHF pair.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9152
Today Daily Change-0.0005
Today Daily Change %-0.05
Today daily open0.9157
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9161
Daily SMA500.9164
Daily SMA1000.9113
Daily SMA2000.9078
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.919
Previous Daily Low0.9139
Previous Weekly High0.92
Previous Weekly Low0.9106
Previous Monthly High0.9242
Previous Monthly Low0.9019
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.917
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9158
Daily Pivot Point S10.9134
Daily Pivot Point S20.9112
Daily Pivot Point S30.9084
Daily Pivot Point R10.9184
Daily Pivot Point R20.9212
Daily Pivot Point R30.9235

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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