|

USD/CHF Price Prediction: Gaps higher at open, uptrend remains intact

  • USD/CHF has opened a Runaway Gap higher at the open, suggesting the uptrend will continue.
  • Volume is low, reducing the chances that the gap represents a point of exhaustion. 

USD/CHF opened a gap higher at the open on Monday (see chart below) and then promptly fell back down. It has since closed the gap. 

Despite the speed of the decline following the gap higher, the short and medium term trend is still probably bullish, which given the old saying that “the trend is your friend” is likely to continue. 

USD/CHF 4-hour Chart 

The gap is probably what would be classified as a “Runaway Gap”. These happen during strong rallies. 

The lack of volume accompanying this gap (yellow rectangle on volume) indicates this is probably not an Exhaustion Gap which comes at the end of the trend. Price is, therefore, likely to continue rising.

A break above the 0.8700 level (October 28 high) would confirm a further extension to the 0.8750 resistance level (August 15 high). 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator is still not in overbought territory (above 70) suggesting the pair has room for more upside.

Author

Joaquin Monfort

Joaquin Monfort is a financial writer and analyst with over 10 years experience writing about financial markets and alt data. He holds a degree in Anthropology from London University and a Diploma in Technical analysis.

More from Joaquin Monfort
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to 1.3500 amid marginal losses

GBP/USD alternates gains with losses around the 1.3500 neighbourhood on Tuesday. Indeed, Cable struggles to further extend its incipient recovery in a context of continuous instability in the Middle East and modest gains in the Greenback.

EUR/USD alternates gains with losses near 1.1540

EUR/USD navigates a tight range near 1.1550 in the latter part of Tuesday’s NA session. The US Dollar’s vacillating price action accompanies the pair while market participants gear up for the crucial US inflation data due on Wednesday.

Gold loses the grip below $4,400

Gold retreats from its earlier tops and briefly revisited the $4,350 region per troy ounce on Tuesday. The yellow metal’s modest retracement follows lacklustre gains in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve, all amid steady uncertainty from the geopolitical landscape.

Shiba Inu Price Forecast: SHIB extends sell-off despite surging futures Open Interest
Shiba Inu (SHIB) maintains a bearish outlook on Tuesday, as it edges lower at $0.00000450. This marks the seventh day the meme coin has sustained a sell-off, weighed down by a weak technical structure. Shiba Inu derivatives continue to gain momentum, with perpetual futures Open Interest (OI) rising to 11.08 trillion SHIB on Tuesday, from 10.46 trillion the day before.
The inflation narrative is still way more important than the employment story
Core bonds sold off yesterday with the belly of the curve slightly underperforming in the US while European curves showed more of a bear flattening. Daily changes on the US curve varied between +4.7 bps (2-yr) and +6.4 bps (7-yr).
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.