|

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Sinks to a two-week low near 0.8200 amid safe-haven demand

  • The Franc surges nearly 1% as Trump’s tariff threats trigger risk aversion and deepen the US Dollar’s slide.
  • USD/CHF breaks below 0.8250, nearing key support at May’s low of 0.8184.
  • Bearish flag breakdown points to a possible test of the 2025 low at 0.8038.
  • Traders pile into Swiss Franc as US protectionism and fiscal risks spook markets.

USD/CHF continues to weaken as the downtrend extends past 0.8250, as the pair loses almost 1%. Investors seeking safety bought the Swiss Franc (CHF) after US President Donald Trump threatened to enact tariffs of 50% on the European Union (EU) and 25% on Apple’s iPhone manufactured overseas. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 0.8203, at new two-week lows.

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Technical outlook

As of writing, the USD/CHF pair is tilted to the downside after clearing the bottom of a ‘bearish flag’ pattern, which indicates that the pair might test the current year-to-date (YTD) low of 0.8038.

Momentum favors further downside, as USD/CHF has achieved a successive series of lower highs and lower lows, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remaining in bearish territory.

On its way towards the YTD low, USD/CHF must drop below 0.8200. A breach of the latter will expose May’s low of 0.8184, followed by 0.8100 and the 0.8050 mark.

On the upside, buyers need to clear the May 22 peak of 0.8396, ahead of the 0.8350 and 0.8400.

USD/CHF Price Chart – Daily 

Swiss Franc PRICE This week

The table below shows the percentage change of Swiss Franc (CHF) against listed major currencies this week. Swiss Franc was the strongest against the US Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-1.58%-1.84%-1.90%-1.78%-1.42%-1.72%-1.86%
EUR1.58%-0.29%-0.28%-0.14%0.29%-0.08%-0.28%
GBP1.84%0.29%-0.27%0.15%0.58%0.21%0.00%
JPY1.90%0.28%0.27%0.13%0.65%0.38%0.09%
CAD1.78%0.14%-0.15%-0.13%0.37%0.06%-0.14%
AUD1.42%-0.29%-0.58%-0.65%-0.37%-0.37%-0.56%
NZD1.72%0.08%-0.21%-0.38%-0.06%0.37%-0.20%
CHF1.86%0.28%-0.01%-0.09%0.14%0.56%0.20%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Swiss Franc from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent CHF (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles for direction amid USD gains

EUR/USD is trimming part of its earlier gains, coming under some mild downside pressure near 1.1730 as the US Dollar edges higher. Markets are still digesting the Fed’s latest rate decision, while also looking ahead to more commentary from Fed officials in the sessions ahead.

GBP/USD drops to daily lows near 1.3360

Disappointing UK data weighed on the Sterling towards the end of the week, triggering a pullback in GBP/USD to fresh daily lows near 1.3360. Looking ahead, the next key event across the Channel is the BoE meeting on December 18.

Gold losses momentum, challenges $4,300

Gold now gives away some gains and disputes the key $4,300 zone per troy ounce following earlier multi-week highs. The move is being driven by expectations that the Fed will deliver further rate cuts next year, with the yellow metal climbing despite a firmer Greenback and rising US Treasury yields across the board.

Litecoin Price Forecast: LTC struggles to extend gains, bullish bets at risk

Litecoin (LTC) price steadies above $80 at press time on Friday, following a reversal from the $87 resistance level on Wednesday. Derivatives data suggests a bullish positional buildup while the LTC futures Open Interest declines, flashing a long squeeze risk.

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.