|

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Sinks to a two-week low near 0.8200 amid safe-haven demand

  • The Franc surges nearly 1% as Trump’s tariff threats trigger risk aversion and deepen the US Dollar’s slide.
  • USD/CHF breaks below 0.8250, nearing key support at May’s low of 0.8184.
  • Bearish flag breakdown points to a possible test of the 2025 low at 0.8038.
  • Traders pile into Swiss Franc as US protectionism and fiscal risks spook markets.

USD/CHF continues to weaken as the downtrend extends past 0.8250, as the pair loses almost 1%. Investors seeking safety bought the Swiss Franc (CHF) after US President Donald Trump threatened to enact tariffs of 50% on the European Union (EU) and 25% on Apple’s iPhone manufactured overseas. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 0.8203, at new two-week lows.

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Technical outlook

As of writing, the USD/CHF pair is tilted to the downside after clearing the bottom of a ‘bearish flag’ pattern, which indicates that the pair might test the current year-to-date (YTD) low of 0.8038.

Momentum favors further downside, as USD/CHF has achieved a successive series of lower highs and lower lows, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remaining in bearish territory.

On its way towards the YTD low, USD/CHF must drop below 0.8200. A breach of the latter will expose May’s low of 0.8184, followed by 0.8100 and the 0.8050 mark.

On the upside, buyers need to clear the May 22 peak of 0.8396, ahead of the 0.8350 and 0.8400.

USD/CHF Price Chart – Daily 

Swiss Franc PRICE This week

The table below shows the percentage change of Swiss Franc (CHF) against listed major currencies this week. Swiss Franc was the strongest against the US Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-1.58%-1.84%-1.90%-1.78%-1.42%-1.72%-1.86%
EUR1.58%-0.29%-0.28%-0.14%0.29%-0.08%-0.28%
GBP1.84%0.29%-0.27%0.15%0.58%0.21%0.00%
JPY1.90%0.28%0.27%0.13%0.65%0.38%0.09%
CAD1.78%0.14%-0.15%-0.13%0.37%0.06%-0.14%
AUD1.42%-0.29%-0.58%-0.65%-0.37%-0.37%-0.56%
NZD1.72%0.08%-0.21%-0.38%-0.06%0.37%-0.20%
CHF1.86%0.28%-0.01%-0.09%0.14%0.56%0.20%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Swiss Franc from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent CHF (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays bid above 1.1700 as risk flows dominate

EUR/USD posts small gains above 1.1700 in early European trading hours on Monday. The US Dollar remains broadly subdued amid a risk-on market profile, underpinning the pair. 

GBP/USD clings to recovery gains near 1.3400

GBP/USD is clinging to recovery gains near 1.3400 in early Europe on Monday. The pair capitalizes on an upbeat market mood and a steady US Dollar as traders digest the recent

 monetary policy decisions by the Fed and the BoE.

Gold hits fresh record highs above $4,400 amid renewed geopolitical woes

Gold is hitting fresh record highs above $4,400 early Monday, helped by renewed geopolitical tensions. Israel-Iran conflict and US-Venezuela headlines drive investors toward the traditional store of value, Gold. 

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple eye breakout for fresh recovery

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are approaching key technical levels at the time of writing on Monday as the broader crypto market stabilizes. Market participants are closely watching whether BTC, ETH, and XRP can sustain breakouts and achieve decisive daily closes above nearby resistance levels, which could signal the start of a short-term recovery.

De-dollarisation by design: Gold’s partner in the new system

You don’t need another 2008 for the system to reset. You just need enough nations to stop settling trade in dollars. And that’s already happening. "If gold is the anchor, what actually moves value in a post-dollar world?” It’s a question most gold investors overlook. We think in terms of storage and preservation, but in the new rails being built, settlement speed matters just as much as soundness of money.

Hyperliquid price forecast: Bullish interest builds amid user recovery

Hyperliquid (HYPE) trades at $25 at press time on Monday, holding the 3% gains from the previous day. The perpetual exchange sees a recovery in active users, while weekly fees collected decline to the lowest level so far this month.