USD/CHF Price Analysis: Reclaims the 20-DMA, as bull's eye the 50-DMA around 0.9300

USD/CHF jumped from weekly lows after forming a hammer at around the 0.9200 area.
Near-term, the USD/CHF is upward biased and might test the 0.9300 figure.

Christian Borjon Valencia FXStreet

The USD/CHF forged a base and climbed back to the 0.9200 area on Friday, following Thursday’s price action, which formed a hammer, that exacerbated the USD/CHF recovery, to current exchange rates. At the time of writing, the USD/CHF is trading at 0.9246, above its opening price by 0.35%.

Long-term, the USD/CHF remains neutral-to-downward biased, but it could print a leg-up and test the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.9294. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) entered bullish territory, suggesting that buying pressure is building, contrary to the Rate of Change (RoC), which is neutral.

Short term, the USD/CHF 4-hour chart is bottoming, though downside risks remain. At the time of typing, the USD/CHF is testing the 200-Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.9247 after breaking away from the confluence of the 50/100/20-EMAs.

Oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) shifted bullish, while the Rate of Change (RoC) backed a bullish continuation, but key resistance areas need to be broken to further cement the USD/CHF upward bias.

Therefore, the USD/CHF first resistance would be the 200-EMA, followed by the 0.9300 figure. A decisive break could trigger a leg-up towards the January 12 high of 0.9360, ahead of the psychological 0.9400 figure.

USD/CHF 4-hour chart

USD/CHF key technical levels

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price	0.9246
Today Daily Change	0.0019
Today Daily Change %	0.21
Today daily open	0.9227

Trends
Daily SMA20	0.9207
Daily SMA50	0.9269
Daily SMA100	0.953
Daily SMA200	0.9608

Levels
Previous Daily High	0.9228
Previous Daily Low	0.916
Previous Weekly High	0.9288
Previous Weekly Low	0.9059
Previous Monthly High	0.941
Previous Monthly Low	0.9085
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	0.9203
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	0.9186
Daily Pivot Point S1	0.9182
Daily Pivot Point S2	0.9137
Daily Pivot Point S3	0.9114
Daily Pivot Point R1	0.925
Daily Pivot Point R2	0.9273
Daily Pivot Point R3	0.9318

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

FXStreet

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

GBP/USD ranges below 1.3450 amid US-Iran uncertainty, ahead of US data

GBP/USD keeps its range below 1.3450 in the European session on Tuesday. Uncertainty surrounding US-Iran talks drives traders toward a safe-haven currency such as the US Dollar, while undermining the risk-sensitive British Pound. All eyes remain on the US JOLTS data and Mideast headlines.

EUR/USD flatlines above 1.1500, awaits US jobs data

EUR/USD holds steady around 1.1505 in European trading hours on Tuesday. Markets remain cautious ahead of a slew of US jobs data, starting with the JOLTS Job Openings Survey later today. However, the downside appears capped by hot Eurozone inflation in July, bolstering the case for a European Central Bank rate hike at the next meeting.

Gold consolidates above $4,050 amid Fed hike bets and Iran uncertainty

Gold seesaws between tepid gains and minor losses during the Asian session as traders seem hesitant and opt to wait for further developments surrounding the Middle East crisis. The US Dollar struggles to build on the previous day's solid bounce from the lowest level since Mid-June and acts as a tailwind for the bullion. However, the uncertainty over US-Iran peace talks helps limit the downside for the buck.

Ripple and Stellar steady as derivatives data points to easing downside pressure

Ripple and Stellar show mixed price action, with XRP holding above the key $1 support zone while XLM faces rejection at $0.173. Meanwhile, improving derivatives metrics alongside fading bearish momentum suggest that the downside pressure may be easing for both altcoins. Derivatives data shows mild bullish sentiment among traders.

US JOLTs report in focus

In the US, the June JOLTs report will be in the spotlight. Job openings have increased modestly this year, which has historically predicted rising wage cost pressures ahead. June trade balance data will also be released in the afternoon and the preliminary reading pointed towards a stable trade deficit from May. The Fed's Schmid (non-voter, hawk) will be on the wires overnight.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?

The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.