|

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Marches firmly towards the 0.9800 figure

  • USD/CHF extends its rally to four straight days, refreshed seven-week highs.
  • Solid resistance lies around the confluence of a top-trendline of an ascending channel and a psychological price level of around 0.9800.

The USD/CHF advances sharply after hitting a daily low at 0.9726. in the North American session. The USD/CHF is trading at 0.9758 after hitting a seven-week high at 0.9807.

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Technical outlook

During the day, the USD/CHF printed a seven-week high, above the 0.9800 figure, though it was short-lived. The major retreated toward current exchange rates. Nevertheless, oscillators, particularly the Relative Strength Index (RSI), signal buyers still have some fuel left in the tank to re-test the abovementioned level, which, once cleared, could pave the way towards July 14 swings high at 0.9886.

Otherwise, the USD/CHF might consolidate around the 0.9700-0.9800 range ahead of the release of Swiss CPI figures on Thursday and Friday’s US Nonfarm Payrolls.

Short term, the USD/CHF 4-hour chart depicts the pair trending up in an ascending channel. The high of the day was the second test of the top-trendline of the channel, with sellers stepping in, dragging the major 50 pips lower. USD/CHF traders should note that the high of the day, was reached when the Relative Strength Index (RSI) peaked at overbought conditions. Therefore, once the RSI dipped, then a re-test of the 0.9800 figure is on the cards.

The USD/CHF first resistance would be the R1 pivot at 0.9777. Once cleared, the next supply zone would be the figure and top-trendline of the channel around 0.9800. On the flip side, the USD/CHF first support would be the daily pivot at 0.9722. A breach of the latter will send the major tumbling towards the 20 EMA at 0.9709, followed by the 0.9700 mark.

USD/CHF Key Technical Levels

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9755
Today Daily Change0.0011
Today Daily Change %0.11
Today daily open0.9744
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9572
Daily SMA500.9622
Daily SMA1000.967
Daily SMA2000.9454
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9762
Previous Daily Low0.9666
Previous Weekly High0.9692
Previous Weekly Low0.9574
Previous Monthly High0.9886
Previous Monthly Low0.9502
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9725
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9703
Daily Pivot Point S10.9686
Daily Pivot Point S20.9628
Daily Pivot Point S30.9589
Daily Pivot Point R10.9782
Daily Pivot Point R20.982
Daily Pivot Point R30.9878

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD loses momentum, flirts with 1.3200

GBP/USD is struggling to maintain its positive bias on Thursday, retreating toward the 1.3200 region in response to the pick in the buying interest around the Greenback. That said, Cable remains under scrutiny as cautious market sentiment keeps investors focused on the US-Iran conflict and political effervescence in the UK.

EUR/USD trims gains, challenges 1.1400

EUR/USD now gives away part of its earlier advance, receding toward the 1.1400 contention zone on Thursday. Meanwhile, the pair’s recovery comes amid extra losses in the US Dollar, at the time when while investors continue to monitor developments in the Middle East and sentiment surrounding global technology stocks.

Gold remains bid and close to $4,100

Gold accelerates its recovery and approaches the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, adding to Thursday’s advance. However, expectations for a hawkish Fed remain steady and keep the yellow metal’s potential upside contained.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin at $60,000, Ethereum at $1,500, and XRP at $1 face a make-or-break test

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) are trading in the red on Friday after three consecutive days of losses, testing their respective make-or-break support levels.

Week ahead – NFP report to challenge Dollar strength and the hawkish Fed

Dollar strength dominates markets, as the hawkish Fed overshadows geopolitics and lower oil prices. NFP week could drive September Fed hike expectations and boost market volatility. The euro lacks fresh bullish catalysts, all eyes on the preliminary inflation report and the ECB Forum.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.