USD/CHF Price Analysis: Clings to 0.9300 after a hawkish Fed

On Thursday, the Swiss franc collapsed almost 1%, as Fed policymakers eye the first rate hike in the March meeting.
The US Dollar Index marches firmly above 97.00 for the first time since 2020.
USD/CHF is upward biased, though a retracement before resuming the uptrend is on the cards.

Christian Borjon Valencia FXStreet

During the North American session, the USD/CHF advances close to 1%, trading above 0.9300 for the first time since November 2021 highs. At the time of writing, the USD/CHF exchanges hands at 0.9312.

A risk-on market mood dented the prospects of the Swiss franc, which usually rallies on risk aversion. In the meantime, the US Dollar marches firmly throughout the session, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) advancing 1.23%, sitting at 97.131.

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The USD/CHF is upward biased. On Wednesday, the pair broke resistance levels on its way towards 0.9300, like the 50 and 100-day moving averages (DMAs), lying at 0.9204 and 0.9212. Furthermore, it broke a downslope resistance trendline drawn from April – September 2021 cycle highs that pass around the 0.9300-05 area. However, due to the nature of the movement, a pullback towards the figure, or December 15, 2021, a daily high at 0.9294, is on the cards.

That said, the USD/CHF first support is 0.9300. A break of that level immediately suggests a test of December 15, 2021, high at 0.9294, followed by a January 26 daily high at 0.9246.

Contrarily, to the upside, the first resistance is November 2021 cycle high at 0.9373. A breach of the latter would expose the 0.9400 figure, followed by April 2021, swing highs at 0.9472.

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price	0.9312
Today Daily Change	0.0074
Today Daily Change %	0.80
Today daily open	0.9238

Trends
Daily SMA20	0.9172
Daily SMA50	0.9207
Daily SMA100	0.9215
Daily SMA200	0.9164

Levels
Previous Daily High	0.9246
Previous Daily Low	0.9171
Previous Weekly High	0.9181
Previous Weekly Low	0.9108
Previous Monthly High	0.9295
Previous Monthly Low	0.9102
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	0.9218
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	0.92
Daily Pivot Point S1	0.9191
Daily Pivot Point S2	0.9143
Daily Pivot Point S3	0.9116
Daily Pivot Point R1	0.9266
Daily Pivot Point R2	0.9294
Daily Pivot Point R3	0.9341

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

FXStreet

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

GBP/USD extends the drop to 1.3360

GBP/USD builds on Monday’s decline and briefly clinches five-day lows near 1.3360 on Tuesday. Cable’s extra pullback follows the better tone in the Greenback as uncertainty in the Middle East prompts investors to adopt a cautious stance. Meanwhile, an apathetic UK labour market report also collaborates with the selling pressure on the British Pound.

EUR/USD stays offered just above 1.1400

EUR/USD keeps the downtrend well in place for yet another day, challenging the 1.1400 contention zone on Tuesday. The continuation of the selling impulse in spot comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar, which continues to find support in the persistent effervescence surrounding the US-Iran crisis.

Middle East crisis intensifies, Gold up

Gold now seems to have embarked on a consolidative phase below the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Meanwhile, uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict and rising expectations for a hawkish Fed policy outlook are expected to limit the precious metal’s bullish momentum in the near term.

XRP rebounds on rising on-chain activity

Ripple (XRP) ticks up and trades around $1.13 at the time of writing on Tuesday. This rebound aligns with a broader recovery in the cryptocurrency market, attributed to reports that mediators between the United States (US) and Iran are seeking a 10-day cessation of strikes to find a way back to the signed Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).

The Iranian war has again risen

The Iranian war has again risen to the top of the economics factor list. There is no end in sight. Intelligence experts say the current level of offense/retaliation will not change minds in Tehran, while in Washington, Trump fears all-out war, which would mean boots on the ground.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?

The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.