|

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Climbs  to fresh two-week highs above 0.9800

  • USD/CHF extends its weekly gains to 1.98% after the Fed and SNB monetary policy decisions.
  • The major break above the 0.9600-0.9700 range, registering a fresh weekly high at 0.9851.
  • The USD/CHF path of least resistance is upwards; once it clears 0.9851, a re-test of 0.9900 is on the cards.

The USD/CHF advanced during Friday’s North American session, gaining 0.60%, courtesy of a risk-off impulse spurred by fears of a global economic slowdown and the Fed’s aggression as the US central bank struggles to temper inflation from around 40-year highs. At the time of writing, the USD/CHF is trading at 0.9836.

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The central bank frenzy witnessed the Fed and the Swiss National Bank (SNB) hiking rates. Even though the SNB finished the period of negative rates, it wasn’t enough, according to market participants, which bought the USD/CHF, lifting the pair towards fresh weekly highs around 0.9851. Nevertheless, USD/CHF buyers have been unable to crack last week’s high at 0.9869, which could open the door for further gains.

Short term, the USD/CHF 4-hour chart, shifted from neutral to neutral-upward biased once the pair rallied above 0.9800, after trading sideways, in the 0.9600-0.9700 area throughout the week. Albeit the Relative Strength Index (RSI) got into overbought conditions, the USD/CHF upward bias remains intact.

Therefore, the USD/CHF first resistance is the weekly high at 0.9851. Break above will expose the R1 daily pivot at 0.9870, followed by the psychological 0.9900 mark.

On the other hand, the USD/CHF first support will be the daily pivot point at 0.9766. A breach of the latter will send the pair sliding to the 20-EMA at 0.9719, ahead of the 0.9700 figure.

USD/CHF Key Technical Levels

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9824
Today Daily Change0.0054
Today Daily Change %0.55
Today daily open0.977
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9698
Daily SMA500.9631
Daily SMA1000.9687
Daily SMA2000.9494
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9851
Previous Daily Low0.9622
Previous Weekly High0.9661
Previous Weekly Low0.948
Previous Monthly High0.9808
Previous Monthly Low0.9371
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9763
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9709
Daily Pivot Point S10.9644
Daily Pivot Point S20.9519
Daily Pivot Point S30.9416
Daily Pivot Point R10.9873
Daily Pivot Point R20.9976
Daily Pivot Point R31.0102

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.