|

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Bulls await a sustained move beyond 0.9765-70 supply zone

  • USD/CHF trades with a positive bias for the fourth consecutive session.
  • The 0.9700 mark might now act as a strong base for bullish traders.

The USD/CHF pair edged higher for the fourth consecutive session on Thursday and is currently placed near one-week tops, levels just below mid-0.9700s.

Any subsequent positive move is likely to confront stiff resistance near the 0.9765-70 region (testing twice in January) and kept a lid on any further gains.

The mentioned barrier coincides with 38.2% Fibonacci level of the 1.0024-0.9613 downfall, which if cleared might be seen as a key trigger for bullish traders.

Moreover, technical indicators on hourly/daily charts have been gaining positive traction and support prospects for an extension of the ongoing momentum.

Hence, some follow-through buying has the potential to lift the pair further beyond the 0.9800 mark towards testing 50% Fibo. level resistance near the 0.9820 region.

Meanwhile, immediate support is pegged near 23.6% Fibo. level, around the 0.9700 round-figure mark, which if broken might negate prospects for any further recovery.

USD/CHF daily chart

fxsoriginal

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9742
Today Daily Change0.0006
Today Daily Change %0.06
Today daily open0.9736
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9692
Daily SMA500.9763
Daily SMA1000.9845
Daily SMA2000.9878
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9748
Previous Daily Low0.9678
Previous Weekly High0.9768
Previous Weekly Low0.9629
Previous Monthly High0.9768
Previous Monthly Low0.9613
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9721
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9705
Daily Pivot Point S10.9693
Daily Pivot Point S20.9651
Daily Pivot Point S30.9623
Daily Pivot Point R10.9763
Daily Pivot Point R20.9791
Daily Pivot Point R30.9833

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Week ahead: Central bank and earnings bonanza could roil markets

After joining the rate-hike club in September, the Federal Reserve looks set to stand pat in October, waiting to assess more data before deciding to hike again. Whilst this isn’t an unusual move for a central bank, it somewhat contradicts Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s new mantra of data dependency and zero forward guidance.

CFTC Report: WTI rally runs ahead of positioning
The week in one sentence: WTI prices surged while speculative longs were cut in the week to October 20, creating the clearest price/positioning divergence. Sterling and the Canadian Dollar led the constructive currency shift, while Yen longs also rebuilt. Speculators turned less constructive on the WTI, reducing their net exposure to around 89.3K contracts.
What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.