|

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Bears eye 0.8790 support confluence and US CB Consumer Confidence

  • USD/CHF takes offers to extend Friday’s retreat from seven-week high to print two-day losing streak.
  • Upbeat oscillators, key support keeps Swiss Franc pair buyers hopeful despite latest U-turn from multi-month-old resistance line.
  • Convergence of 50-DMA, rising trend line from mid-July appears a tough nut to crack for bears.
  • US CB Consumer Confidence eyed for clear directions as Fed Powell’s speech highlighted data dependency for future policy moves.

USD/CHF remains on the back foot for the second consecutive day, down 0.12% intraday around 0.8825 amid the early Tuesday morning in Europe. In doing so, the Swiss Franc (CHF) pair stretches last week’s U-turn from a downward-sloping resistance line from March 08.

It’s worth noting that the broadly weaker US Dollar and the cautious mood ahead of the US Conference Board’s (CB) Consumer Confidence Index for August, expected at 116.2 versus the prior 117.00, exert downside pressure on the pair after it reversed from the key resistance line.

However, the upbeat RSI (14) line and the bullish MACD signals join the quote’s sustained trading beyond the 0.8790 support confluence to keep the buyers hopeful.

That said, the 50-DMA and a six-week-long rising trend line together constitute the 0.8790 hurdle toward the south.

In a case where the USD/CHF breaks the 0.8790 support, the odds of witnessing a quick slump towards refreshing the monthly low, currently around 0.8690, can’t be ruled out.

On the flip side, a clear upside break of the aforementioned multi-month-old resistance line, close to 0.8840 by the press time, needs validation from the monthly peak of 0.8865 and June’s low of 0.8901 to convince the USD/CHF pair buyers.

USD/CHF: Daily chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.8828
Today Daily Change-0.0011
Today Daily Change %-0.12%
Today daily open0.8839
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8783
Daily SMA500.8795
Daily SMA1000.8887
Daily SMA2000.908
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8865
Previous Daily Low0.8818
Previous Weekly High0.8876
Previous Weekly Low0.876
Previous Monthly High0.9005
Previous Monthly Low0.8552
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8836
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8847
Daily Pivot Point S10.8816
Daily Pivot Point S20.8794
Daily Pivot Point S30.877
Daily Pivot Point R10.8863
Daily Pivot Point R20.8887
Daily Pivot Point R30.891

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles to extend advance above 1.1800

The EUR/USD pair posts a fresh weekly low near 1.1740 during the Asian trading session on Wednesday. The major currency pair is under pressure as the US Dollar edges higher despite Federal Open Market Committee minutes of the December policy meeting, released on Tuesday, showing that most policymakers stressed the need for further interest rate cuts.

GBP/USD tests 1.3450 support after moving below nine-day EMA

GBP/USD remains subdued for the second consecutive day, trading around 1.3460 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates a weakening of a bullish bias as the pair is positioned slightly below the lower boundary of the ascending channel pattern.

Gold jumps on US rate cut prospects, safe-haven demand

Gold price extends the rally above $4,350 during the early European trading hours on Wednesday. Gold's price has surged about 65% this year and is set to record its biggest annual gains since 1979. The rally in the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026. Lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding Gold, supporting the non-yielding precious metal.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).