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USD/CHF Price Analysis: Bears eye 0.8790 support confluence and US CB Consumer Confidence

  • USD/CHF takes offers to extend Friday’s retreat from seven-week high to print two-day losing streak.
  • Upbeat oscillators, key support keeps Swiss Franc pair buyers hopeful despite latest U-turn from multi-month-old resistance line.
  • Convergence of 50-DMA, rising trend line from mid-July appears a tough nut to crack for bears.
  • US CB Consumer Confidence eyed for clear directions as Fed Powell’s speech highlighted data dependency for future policy moves.

USD/CHF remains on the back foot for the second consecutive day, down 0.12% intraday around 0.8825 amid the early Tuesday morning in Europe. In doing so, the Swiss Franc (CHF) pair stretches last week’s U-turn from a downward-sloping resistance line from March 08.

It’s worth noting that the broadly weaker US Dollar and the cautious mood ahead of the US Conference Board’s (CB) Consumer Confidence Index for August, expected at 116.2 versus the prior 117.00, exert downside pressure on the pair after it reversed from the key resistance line.

However, the upbeat RSI (14) line and the bullish MACD signals join the quote’s sustained trading beyond the 0.8790 support confluence to keep the buyers hopeful.

That said, the 50-DMA and a six-week-long rising trend line together constitute the 0.8790 hurdle toward the south.

In a case where the USD/CHF breaks the 0.8790 support, the odds of witnessing a quick slump towards refreshing the monthly low, currently around 0.8690, can’t be ruled out.

On the flip side, a clear upside break of the aforementioned multi-month-old resistance line, close to 0.8840 by the press time, needs validation from the monthly peak of 0.8865 and June’s low of 0.8901 to convince the USD/CHF pair buyers.

USD/CHF: Daily chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price
0.8828
Today Daily Change
-0.0011
Today Daily Change %
-0.12%
Today daily open
0.8839
 
Trends
Daily SMA20
0.8783
Daily SMA50
0.8795
Daily SMA100
0.8887
Daily SMA200
0.908
 
Levels
Previous Daily High
0.8865
Previous Daily Low
0.8818
Previous Weekly High
0.8876
Previous Weekly Low
0.876
Previous Monthly High
0.9005
Previous Monthly Low
0.8552
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%
0.8836
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%
0.8847
Daily Pivot Point S1
0.8816
Daily Pivot Point S2
0.8794
Daily Pivot Point S3
0.877
Daily Pivot Point R1
0.8863
Daily Pivot Point R2
0.8887
Daily Pivot Point R3
0.891

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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