USD/CHF Price Analysis: 17-week-old falling trendline, 61.8% Fibonacci on bears’ radar


  • USD/CHF remains on the back foot near the multi-week low.
  • Bearish MACD signals further downside, key support question the sellers.
  • 200-week SMA acts as the key upside barrier.

Despite bouncing off September 2018 lows, USD/CHF stays 0.11% down while trading around 0.9640 during early Monday. Also portraying the pair’s weakness are bearish conditions of MACD.

That said, a downward sloping trend line since early October 2019, at 0.9600 now, acts as the immediate support.

Also challenging the sellers is 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s rise from February 2018 to April 2019, at 0.9585.

In a case where the bears manage to conquer 0.9585 on a weekly closing basis, September 2018 bottom surrounding 0.9540 will return to the charts.

Alternatively, 50% of Fibonacci retracement and late-February lows can question the pair’s immediate recovery around 0.9710 and 0.9770 respectively.

It should, however, be noted that the quote’s upside past-0.9770 will find it tough to cross 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 200-week SMA, currently around 0.9835 and 0.9850 in that order.

USD/CHF weekly chart

Trend: Bearish

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 0.964
Today Daily Change -10 pips
Today Daily Change % -0.10%
Today daily open 0.965
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.9765
Daily SMA50 0.9733
Daily SMA100 0.9817
Daily SMA200 0.9849
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.9702
Previous Daily Low 0.9609
Previous Weekly High 0.9816
Previous Weekly Low 0.9609
Previous Monthly High 0.9851
Previous Monthly Low 0.9609
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.9645
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.9666
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.9605
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.9561
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.9513
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.9698
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.9746
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.979

 

 

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