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USD/CHF Price Analysis: 17-week-old falling trendline, 61.8% Fibonacci on bears’ radar

  • USD/CHF remains on the back foot near the multi-week low.
  • Bearish MACD signals further downside, key support question the sellers.
  • 200-week SMA acts as the key upside barrier.

Despite bouncing off September 2018 lows, USD/CHF stays 0.11% down while trading around 0.9640 during early Monday. Also portraying the pair’s weakness are bearish conditions of MACD.

That said, a downward sloping trend line since early October 2019, at 0.9600 now, acts as the immediate support.

Also challenging the sellers is 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s rise from February 2018 to April 2019, at 0.9585.

In a case where the bears manage to conquer 0.9585 on a weekly closing basis, September 2018 bottom surrounding 0.9540 will return to the charts.

Alternatively, 50% of Fibonacci retracement and late-February lows can question the pair’s immediate recovery around 0.9710 and 0.9770 respectively.

It should, however, be noted that the quote’s upside past-0.9770 will find it tough to cross 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 200-week SMA, currently around 0.9835 and 0.9850 in that order.

USD/CHF weekly chart

Trend: Bearish

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.964
Today Daily Change-10 pips
Today Daily Change %-0.10%
Today daily open0.965
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9765
Daily SMA500.9733
Daily SMA1000.9817
Daily SMA2000.9849
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9702
Previous Daily Low0.9609
Previous Weekly High0.9816
Previous Weekly Low0.9609
Previous Monthly High0.9851
Previous Monthly Low0.9609
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9645
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9666
Daily Pivot Point S10.9605
Daily Pivot Point S20.9561
Daily Pivot Point S30.9513
Daily Pivot Point R10.9698
Daily Pivot Point R20.9746
Daily Pivot Point R30.979

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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