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USD/CHF flat-lines below 0.8800, US Retail Sales eyed

  • USD/CHF trades sideways around 0.8776 in Wednesday’s Asian session. 
  • The US CPI figure climbed 3.2% from a year earlier in February vs. 3.1% prior.
  • The rising Middle East geopolitical tensions and risk-averse environment could lift the CHF. 
  • Traders will watch the Swiss Producer and Import Prices and US Retail Sales February, due on Thursday. 

The USD/CHF pair remains confined in a narrow trading range of 0.8765-0.8780 during the Asian trading hours on Wednesday. The stronger-than-expected US CPI inflation data in February lift the US Dollar (USD). Nonetheless, the risk-averse environment might boost safe-haven demand and benefit the Swiss Franc (CHF). The pair currently trades near 0.8776, adding 0.02% on the day. 

Inflation remains elevated in the United States in February. The Labor Department reported on Tuesday that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) climbed 3.2% from a year earlier from 3.1% in January. On a monthly basis, the headline CPI figure increased by 0.4% from the previous month of a 0.3% gain. Additionally, the Core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy items, rose 0.4% MoM in February, above the market consensus of 0.3%. 

The hotter CPI inflation report might influence Federal Reserve (Fed) officials to wait until the summer before beginning to cut interest rates. This, in turn, provides some support for the Greenback. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said last week that the Fed is likely to cut the interest rate this year, but the central bank needs to see more evidence of inflation data to ensure that inflation returns to the 2% target. Investors are pricing in 70% odds of rate cuts in June, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

On the other hand, the escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, uncertainty, and risk-averse environment could boost safe-haven assets like CHF and create a headwind for the USD/CHF pair. 

In the absence of the top-tier economic data released from the US and Swiss dockets on Wednesday, the pair remains at the mercy of the USD price dynamics and the broader risk sentiment. On Thursday, the Swiss Producer and Import Prices and US Retail Sales February will be released.  

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.8779
Today Daily Change0.0004
Today Daily Change %0.05
Today daily open0.8775
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8808
Daily SMA500.8702
Daily SMA1000.8746
Daily SMA2000.8822
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8795
Previous Daily Low0.8747
Previous Weekly High0.8866
Previous Weekly Low0.873
Previous Monthly High0.8886
Previous Monthly Low0.8553
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8777
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8766
Daily Pivot Point S10.875
Daily Pivot Point S20.8725
Daily Pivot Point S30.8702
Daily Pivot Point R10.8798
Daily Pivot Point R20.882
Daily Pivot Point R30.8845





 

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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