|

USD/CHF climbs back over 0.9150 as markets go risk-off

  • USD/CHF floating back to the top side as Greenback rises on risk aversion.
  • Franc buyers will be looking ahead to Tuesday's Swiss CPI reading.
  • Another NFP Friday looms ahead, investors will be positioning early.

The USD/CHF sees a Monday rebound after last Friday's decline, and broad-market risk flows are seeing investors pile into the US Dollar (USD) ahead of another US Non-Farm Payrolls Friday.

US Manufacturing Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) figures on Monday came in mixed, with September's Manufacturing PMI printing a healthy 49 versus the expected uptick to 47.7. Upside potential was limited by manufacturing prices, with the ISM manufacturing inflation index declining to 43.8, missing the forecast improvement to 48.6.

Next up on the data docket for the USD/CHF will be the Swiss Consumer Price Index (CPI), which is slated for Tuesday at 06:30  GMT.

Swiss inflation is expected to improve from 1.6% to 1.8%, but momentum heading into the mid-week will be capped off by the US ISM Services PMI printing, forecast to decline from  54.5 to 53.6. US services inflation data is slated for Wednesday at 14:00 GMT.

USD/CHF: Downward path will eventually resume – UBS

USD/CHF technical outlook

The USD/CHF bounded 85 pips from Monday's early low to mark in an intraday high just shy of the 0.9200 handle, and the pair is currently softening into the midpoint near 0.9170. The pair remains well-bid above the 200-hour Simple Moving Average near 0.9110, but the near-term ceiling remains last week's swing high into 0.9225.

Daily candlesticks see the USD/CHF extending above the 200-day SMA near 0.9050, and a bearish confirmation would first have to decisively fall below the 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) which is currently rising into the 0.9000 major handle and set for a bullish cross of the 200-day SMA.

USD/CHF daily chart

USD/CHF technical levels

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9174
Today Daily Change0.0024
Today Daily Change %0.26
Today daily open0.915
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9002
Daily SMA500.886
Daily SMA1000.8897
Daily SMA2000.9031
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9164
Previous Daily Low0.9091
Previous Weekly High0.9225
Previous Weekly Low0.9061
Previous Monthly High0.9225
Previous Monthly Low0.8795
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9119
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9136
Daily Pivot Point S10.9106
Daily Pivot Point S20.9062
Daily Pivot Point S30.9033
Daily Pivot Point R10.9179
Daily Pivot Point R20.9207
Daily Pivot Point R30.9251

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases toward 1.1700 as USD finds fresh demand

EUR/USD eases toward the 1.1700 mark in early Europe on Friday. The pair faces headwinds from a renewed uptick in the US Dollar as investors look past softer US inflation data. However, the EUR/USD downside appears capped by expectations of Fed-ECB monetary policy divergence. 

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders digest BoE policy update and US inflation data

The GBP/USD pair stalls the previous day's pullback from the vicinity of mid-1.3400s and a nearly two-month high, though it struggles to attract meaningful buyers during the Asian session on Friday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3380-1.3385 region, up only 0.05% for the day, amid mixed cues.

Gold seems vulnerable as USD bulls shrug off softer US CPI

Gold extends the previous day's late pullback from the vicinity of the record high and attracts some follow-through selling during the Asian session on Friday. The US CPI report released on Thursday pointed to cooling of inflationary pressure.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple correction slide as BoJ rate decision weighs on sentiment

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are extending their correction phases after losing nearly 3%, 8%, and 10%, respectively, through Friday. The pullback phase is further strengthened as the upcoming Bank of Japan’s rate decision on Friday weighs on risk sentiment, with BTC breaking key support, ETH deepening weekly losses, and XRP sliding to multi-month lows.

Bank of England cuts rates in heavily divided decision

The Bank of England has cut rates to 3.75%, but the decision was more hawkish than expected, leaving market rates higher and sterling slightly stronger. It's a close call whether the Bank cuts again in February or March.

Ethereum Price Forecast: EF outlines ways to solve growing state issues

Ethereum price today: $2,920. The EF noted that Ethereum's growing state could lead to centralization and weaken censorship resistance. The Stateless Consensus team outlined state expiry, state archive and partial statelessness as potential solutions to the growing state load.