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USD/CAD unchanged around 1.3230 ahead of EIA, Trump

The Canadian dollar is now alternating gains with losses vs. its American neighbour, sending USD/CAD to the 1.3235/30 band.

USD/CAD focus on oil, Trump

Choppy week for the pair so far, although it seems well supported in the 1.3170 region for the time being.

Declining crude oil prices have mitigated part of the recent CAD strength, as the barrel of West Texas Intermediate remains on a weak note during the first half of the week. In fact, prices for the WTI are currently gaining smalls around the $51.00 area after the API reported late on Tuesday a build of 1.5 million barrels during last week.

In addition, the cautious tone seems to still prevail around the buck amidst lack of relevant releases and the imminent press conference by president-elect Donald Trump.

Data wise, the weekly report on US crude oil inventories by the EIA is due later in the NA session.

USD/CAD significant levels

As of writing the pair is gaining 0.02% at 1.3231 and a breakout of 1.3272 (100-day sma) would aim for 1.3311 (38.2% Fibo of the 2016 drop) and then 1.3383 (55-day sma). On the other hand, the immediate support aligns at 1.3194 (low Jan.9) ahead of 1.3174 (low Jan.6) and finally 1.3120 (3-month support line).

1 Week
Avg Forecast 1.3297
100.0%87.0%75.0%0758085909510000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 75% Bullish
  • 12% Bearish
  • 12% Sideways
Bias Bullish
1 Month
Avg Forecast 1.3365
100.0%91.0%73.0%0758085909510000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 73% Bullish
  • 18% Bearish
  • 9% Sideways
Bias Bullish
1 Quarter
Avg Forecast 1.3469
100.0%87.0%67.0%06570758085909510000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 67% Bullish
  • 20% Bearish
  • 13% Sideways
Bias Bullish

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

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