|

USD/CAD surges to near 1.4100 after US-Canada Employment data

  • USD/CAD jumps to near 1.4100 after the release of the US-Canada employment data for November.
  • US NFP came in higher-than-expected and the wage growth remained steady.
  • Canadian job growth remained robust and the jobless rate accelerated sharply.

The USD/CAD pair advances to near the round-level resistance of 1.4100 after the release of the labor market data for November from both economies: the United States (US) and Canada.

The US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report showed that 227K fresh workers were added to the labor force, higher than estimates of 200K. The Unemployment Rate accelerated to 4.2%, as expected, higher than the former release of 4.1%.

Meanwhile, Average Hourly Earnings rose steadily by 0.4% and 4% on monthly and annual basis, respectively.

The probability for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) has increased sharply to 90% from 71% recorded on Thursday after the release of the US NFP report, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

On the Loonie front, fresh labor addition remained robust in November, while the jobless rate jumped to a record high since September 2021. The economy added 50.5K workers, significantly higher than estimates of 25K and the former release of 14.5K. The Unemployment Rate rose to 6.8%, faster than estimates of 6.6% and the prior reading of 6.5%.

A higher jobless rate would prompt expectations of more outsize interest rate cuts by the Bank of Canada (BoC). The BoC has already reduced its key borrowing rates by 125 basis points (bps) to 3.75%.

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD gathers recovery momentum, trades near 1.1750

Following the correction seen in the second half of the previous week, EUR/USD gathers bullish momentum and trades in positive territory near 1.1750. The US Dollar (USD) struggles to attract buyers and supports the pair as investors await Tuesday's GDP data ahead of the Christmas holiday. 

GBP/USD knocks ten-week highs ahead of holiday slowdown

GBP/USD found room on the high side on Monday, kicking off a holiday-shortened trading week with a fresh spat of Greenback weakness, bolstering the Pound Sterling into its highest bids in ten weeks. Pound traders are largely brushing off the latest interest rate cut from the Bank of England as the UK’s central bank policy strategy leaves the water murky for rate-cut watchers.

Gold buying remains unabated; fresh all-time peak and counting

Gold builds on the previous day's blowout rally through the $4,400 mark and continues scaling new record highs through the Asian session on Tuesday. Bets for more interest rate cuts by the US Fed, renewed US Dollar selling bias, and rising geopolitical uncertainties turn out to be key factors driving flows towards the bullion. Traders now look to the delayed release of the revised US Q3 GDP print and US Durable Goods Orders for a fresh impetus.

Year ahead 2026: Where will Bitcoin be in a year’s time?

Bitcoin, which accounts for roughly 60% of total crypto market capitalization, entered 2025 with unstoppable momentum under a crypto‑friendly Trump administration. The rally was supported by major regulatory wins and accelerating institutional adoption.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

XRP steadies above $1.90 support as fund inflows and retail demand rise

Ripple (XRP) is stable above support at $1.90 at the time of writing on Monday, after several attempts to break above the $2.00 hurdle failed to materialize last week. Meanwhile, institutional interest in the cross-border remittance token has remained steady.