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USD/CAD struggles near 34-month lows, around 1.2575-70 zone

  • USD/CAD edged lower for the fifth consecutive session on Wednesday.
  • A combination of factors extended some support and helped limit losses.

The USD/CAD pair remained depressed through the early European session and was last seen hovering around the 1.2575 region, just above 34-month lows set earlier this Wednesday.

The pair extended its recent rejection slide from 50-day SMA and edged lower for the fifth consecutive session. The attempted intraday recovery quickly ran out of the steam near the 1.2600 round-figure mark amid the emergence of some fresh selling around the US dollar.

A modest pullback in the US Treasury bond yields failed to assist the greenback to capitalize on the previous day's goodish rebound from six-week lows. The treasury yields were dragged down by Fed Chair Jerome Powell's dovish remarks during the congressional testimony.

That said, the progress on US President Joe Biden's proposed $1.9 trillion stimulus package helped limit the downside for the US bond yields. Apart from this, a softer risk tone benefitted the greenback's relative safe-haven status and extended some support to the USD/CAD pair.

On the other hand, retreating crude oil prices undermined the commodity-linked loonie and held bearish traders from placing fresh bets around the USD/CAD pair. Oil prices fell on Wednesday after the American Petroleum Institute (API) reported a surprise build in US crude stocks last week.

Meanwhile, the USD/CAD pair's inability to register any meaningful recovery suggests that the near-term bearish trend might still be far from being over. Hence, any meaningful recovery attempted might still be seen as a selling opportunity and runs the risk of fizzling out quickly.

There isn't any major market-moving economic data due for release on Wednesday, either from the US or Canada. Hence, the key focus will remain on Powell's second day of the semi-annual testimony before the US Congress, which might influence the USD and provide some impetus to the USD/CAD pair.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.2579
Today Daily Change-0.0009
Today Daily Change %-0.07
Today daily open1.2588
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2725
Daily SMA501.2739
Daily SMA1001.2898
Daily SMA2001.3156
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2648
Previous Daily Low1.2579
Previous Weekly High1.2746
Previous Weekly Low1.2594
Previous Monthly High1.2881
Previous Monthly Low1.259
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2605
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2621
Daily Pivot Point S11.2562
Daily Pivot Point S21.2536
Daily Pivot Point S31.2494
Daily Pivot Point R11.263
Daily Pivot Point R21.2673
Daily Pivot Point R31.2699

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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