|

USD/CAD slides to six-month lows ahead of Fed and BoC decisions

  • USD/CAD slips to near six-month lows on sustained Dollar weakness.
  • Tariff threats from Washington keep traders cautious.
  • Markets await the Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada interest rate decisions scheduled for Wednesday.

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) trades on the front foot against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, supported by sustained weakness in the Greenback, even as renewed tariff threats from Washington limit the Loonie’s upside. At the time of writing, USD/CAD is trading around 1.3637, its lowest level since July 2025.

US President Donald Trump revived trade tensions over the weekend, warning in a Truth Social post that he would impose a 100% tariff on all Canadian goods if Canada finalizes a trade deal with China. He accused Ottawa of becoming a “drop-off port” for Chinese products entering the United States.

However, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney sought to cool the rhetoric, saying Trump’s tariff threats should be seen as tactical positioning ahead of the upcoming United States-Mexico-Canada review. Carney noted that Canada is entering a formal review of the USMCA Agreement this year and said he expects a “robust review”.

The remarks follow Carney’s comments earlier this week that Canada has “no intention” of pursuing a full free-trade agreement with China, stressing that recent discussions have focused only on limited tariff reductions, not a broad trade deal.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains under sustained selling pressure, driven by Trump’s aggressive trade rhetoric, growing concerns over Federal Reserve independence, and rising risks of another US government shutdown.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback's value against a basket of six major currencies, is trading near four-month lows around 96.61.

On the data front, the ADP Employment Change four-week average came in at 7.75K, slightly below the previous 8K reading. Meanwhile, the Housing Price Index rose 0.6% MoM in November, up from 0.4% in October and above expectations of 0.3%. US Consumer Confidence is due later in the American session.

Looking ahead, markets are also bracing for a twin risk event on Wednesday, with interest rate decisions from both the Bank of Canada (BoC) and the Federal Reserve (Fed). Both central banks are widely expected to keep rates on hold, shifting the focus to the post-meeting statements and press conferences for guidance on the policy path.

The Fed is expected to stick to a gradual easing bias, with markets currently pricing in around two rate cuts this year. Meanwhile, the BoC is also seen holding steady, but traders will be watching closely for any signals on whether a rate hike could come back into play later this year.

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.39%-0.44%-0.58%-0.43%-0.47%-0.32%-0.81%
EUR0.39%-0.05%-0.16%0.00%-0.08%0.12%-0.42%
GBP0.44%0.05%-0.17%0.01%-0.03%0.12%-0.36%
JPY0.58%0.16%0.17%0.16%0.12%0.26%-0.22%
CAD0.43%-0.00%-0.01%-0.16%-0.04%0.11%-0.39%
AUD0.47%0.08%0.03%-0.12%0.04%0.15%-0.34%
NZD0.32%-0.12%-0.12%-0.26%-0.11%-0.15%-0.49%
CHF0.81%0.42%0.36%0.22%0.39%0.34%0.49%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Vishal Chaturvedi

I am a macro-focused research analyst with over four years of experience covering forex and commodities market. I enjoy breaking down complex economic trends and turning them into clear, actionable insights that help traders stay ahead of the curve.

More from Vishal Chaturvedi
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD slumps below 1.1750 as USD benefits from risk-aversion

EUR/USD comes under renewed bearish pressure in the European session and trades below 1.1750 following a recovery attempt earlier in the day. The US Dollar gathers strength and weighs on the pair as investors seek refuge in the wake of Israel and the United States' joint attack on Iran.

GBP/USD targets 1.3500 barrier near moving averages

GBP/USD rebounds from the daily losses, trading around 1.3450 during the Asian hours on Monday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates an ongoing bearish bias, as the pair trades within a descending channel pattern.

Gold surges on safe-haven demand, tests $5,400

Gold benefits from intense risk-aversion on Monday and climbs to the $5,400 region, setting a fresh monthly-high in the process. Tensions in the Middle East remain high as Israel and Hezbollah continue to exchange strikes following the US-Israel joint attack on Iran over the weekend.

Bitcoin on brink of breakdown amid US-Iran war

Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure near the key support level of $65,700. Trading at $66,400 at the time of writing on Monday, a breakdown below this critical level would suggest a deeper correction ahead.

The week ahead: Conflict in the Middle East jolts markets

Events in the Middle East are obviously dominating financial markets this morning. The Brent crude oil price is extending gains and is higher by more than 8%, stock futures are pointing lower and the gold price is higher by more than 2%. 

Pi Network Price Forecast: Core team offloads supply, weighing on PI recovery

Pi Network  hovers below $0.1700, broadly steady at press time on Monday, attempting a recovery after a 2% loss the previous day. Sunday’s decline aligned with nearly 49 million PI tokens offloaded by the Pi Foundation, implying a spike in supply pressure that capped the prevailing four-day recovery.