|

USD/CAD sellers attack 1.2700 as WTI strength joins US dollar weakness

  • USD/CAD stays depressed while probing the weekly low.
  • WTI refreshes multi-week top, US dollar index extends the previous day’s losses.
  • Risks linger virus woes and US political turmoil battle stimulus hopes.
  • US CPI, Fedspeak to decorate calendar, risk headlines become the key.

USD/CAD remains heavy near the intraday low of 1.2703, down 0.06% on a day, during Wednesday’s Asian session. The loonie pair dropped for the first time in the last four days on Tuesday, while also carrying the losses today, amid the broad US dollar weakness and gains in Canada’s main export item crude oil. It should be noted that the mixed clues to justify trading sentiment coupled be spotted for a bid milder downside bias.

Crude prices recently jumped to the fresh high since February 2020, currently up 0.90% at $53.65, after private oil inventories shrank more than the previous readings. Also favoring the commodity is the broadly risk-on mood and US dollar weakness.

Read: WTI refreshes multi-month high above $53.00 on upbeat API stockpile data, focus on EIA figures

On the contrary, the US dollar index (DXY) drops for the second day while marking a 0.08% intraday loss to 89.96. The greenback’s weakness could be attributed to the political drama in the US relating to President Donald Trump’s impeachment and President-elect Joe Biden’s hint of mammoth fiscal stimulus.

While roiling the mood, worsening coronavirus (COVID-19) conditions in the US, the UK and Europe, not to forget Japan and some parts of Asia, probe vaccination drives. That said, S&P 500 Futures and stocks in Asia-Pacific remain mildly bid but the US 10-year Treasury yields snap seven-day north-run.

Looking forward, risk catalysts to remain in the driver’s seat even as December’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) from the US can offer intermediate moves.

Technical analysis

A one-week-old support line near 1.2700 challenges USD/CAD bears targeting the monthly low around 1.2630. Meanwhile, 21-day SMA and a downward sloping trend line from December 21, respectively around 1.2770 and 1.2820, guard the pair’s short-term upside.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.2707
Today Daily Change-7 pips
Today Daily Change %-0.06%
Today daily open1.2714
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2773
Daily SMA501.289
Daily SMA1001.3048
Daily SMA2001.3354
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2792
Previous Daily Low1.2711
Previous Weekly High1.2798
Previous Weekly Low1.263
Previous Monthly High1.301
Previous Monthly Low1.2688
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2742
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2761
Daily Pivot Point S11.2686
Daily Pivot Point S21.2658
Daily Pivot Point S31.2605
Daily Pivot Point R11.2766
Daily Pivot Point R21.2819
Daily Pivot Point R31.2847

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hovers around 1.1700, US Jobless Claims data eyed

EUR/USD is trading in a range around 1.1700 in European trading on Thursday. The pair's upside remains capped by a pause in the US Dollar decline, led by the less hawkish Fed outcome. Markets await the release of the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims report for further trading incentives. 

GBP/USD struggles below 1.3400 ahead of US employment data

GBP/USD stays defensive below 1.3400 in the European session on Thursday, pressured by a modest US Dollar upswing. Nonetheless, the potential downside might be limited after the US Federal Reserve delivered a rate cut at its December policy meeting. Traders brace for the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims report due later in the day. 

Gold bounces off $4,200 neighborhood, down a little amid mixed fundamental cues

Gold recovers slightly from the vicinity of the $4,200 mark, though it sticks to its negative bias through the first half of the European session. The US Dollar attracts some buyers and recovers a part of the previous day's post-FOMC slump to its lowest level since October 24. This fails to assist the commodity in capitalizing on its modest intraday uptick to the weekly high.

Solana dips as hawkish Fed cuts dampen market sentiment

Solana price is trading below $130 on Thursday, after being rejected at the upper boundary of its falling wedge pattern. The broader market weakness following the Federal Reserve’s hawkish rate cut has added to downside momentum.

Fed projects only 50 bps of additional rate cuts between 2026 and 2027; lifts GDP forecasts

The Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) latest dot plot, released on Wednesday, indicates that interest rates will average 3.4% by the end of 2026, in line with the September projection.

Solana dips as hawkish Fed cuts dampen market sentiment
Solana (SOL) price is trading below $130 at the time of writing on Thursday, after being rejected at the upper boundary of its falling wedge pattern. The broader market weakness following the Federal Reserve’s hawkish rate cut has added to downside momentum.