|

USD/CAD recovers above 1.34 as crude oil gains traction

  • WTI adds more than 1% on Tuesday.
  • US Dollar Index stays calms near 97 handle.
  • Coming up: February CPI data from the U.S.

After spending the Asian session in a very narrow range below the 1.34 mark, the USD/CAD pair staged a modest recovery in the last hour and was last seen trading at 1.3410, where it was up 0.15% on a daily basis.

Although investors seem to be staying on the sidelines ahead of the inflation data from the U.S., rising crude oil prices support the commodity-sensitive loonie. As of writing, the barrel of West Texas Intermediate is trading above $57 and gaining more than 1% on the day. Reports of Saudi Arabia planning to intensify its output cuts before the April OPEC meeting are boosting crude oil prices since the start of the week.

On the other hand, the greenback stays under pressure for the third straight trading day on Tuesday with markets staying focused on hopes of British lawmakers accepting PM May's tweaked Brexit deal later today. At the moment, the US Dollar Index is staying flat on the day near the 97 handle. Previewing today's critical CPI data, “Price pressures will benefit higher food and gasoline prices and another solid 0.2% increase in core CPI, leaving the latter unchanged at 2.2% y/y. There is risk for a slight deceleration in shelter, but we expect strength elsewhere, including tariff-related categories, medical care and airfares,” TD Securities analysts said in a recently published report.

Key technical levels

Trends:
    Daily SMA20: 1.3268
    Daily SMA50: 1.3278
    Daily SMA100: 1.3292
    Daily SMA200: 1.3179
Levels:
    Previous Daily High: 1.344
    Previous Daily Low: 1.3392
    Previous Weekly High: 1.3469
    Previous Weekly Low: 1.3275
    Previous Monthly High: 1.3341
    Previous Monthly Low: 1.3069
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2%: 1.3411
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8%: 1.3422
    Daily Pivot Point S1: 1.3377
    Daily Pivot Point S2: 1.3361
    Daily Pivot Point S3: 1.3329
    Daily Pivot Point R1: 1.3425
    Daily Pivot Point R2: 1.3457
    Daily Pivot Point R3: 1.3473

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD deflates to fresh lows, targets 1.1600

The selling pressure on EUR/USD now gathers extra pace, prompting the pair to hit fresh multi-week lows in the 1.1625-1.1620 band on Friday. The continuation of the downward bias comes in response to further gains in the US Dollar as market participants continue to assess the mixed release of US Nonfarm Payrolls in December.

GBP/USD breaks below 1.3400, challenges the 200-day SMA

GBP/USD remains under heavy fire and retreats for the fourth consecutive day on Friday. Indeed, Cable suffers the strong performance of the Greenback, intensified post-mixed NFP, and trades at shouting distance from its critical 200-day SMA near 1.3380.

Gold flirts with yearly tops around $4,500

Gold keeps its positive bias on Friday, adding to Thursday’s advance and challenging yearly highs in the $4,500 region per troy ounce. The risk-off sentiment favours the yellow metal despite the firmer tone in the Greenback and rising US Treasury yields.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP risk further decline as market fear persists amid slowing demand

Bitcoin holds $90,000 but stays below the 50-day EMA as institutional demand wanes. Ethereum steadies above $3,000 but remains structurally weak due to ETF outflows. XRP ETFs resume inflows, but the price struggles to gain ground above key support.

Week ahead – US CPI might challenge the geopolitics-boosted Dollar

Geopolitics may try to steal the limelight from US data. A possible US Supreme Court ruling on tariffs could dictate market movements. A crammed data calendar next week, US CPI comes on Tuesday; Fedspeak to intensify.

XRP trades under pressure amid weak retail demand

XRP presses down on the 50-day EMA support as risk-averse sentiment spreads despite a positive start to 2026. XRP faces declining retail demand, as reflected in futures Open Interest, which has fallen to $4.15 billion.