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USD/CAD rebounds above 1.4150 as oil recovery remains shallow

  • WTI trades above $27, still down more than 4%.
  • US Dollar Index posts small daily gains on Monday.
  • Coming up: Bank of Canada's Business Outlook Survey.

Rising crude oil prices in the second half of the last week helped the commodity-sensitive loonie stay resilient against the greenback and allowed the USD/CAD pair to close around 1.4200, 150 pips below its weekly highs. At the start of the new week, the pair dropped below the 1.41 handle but staged a rebound in the last couple of hours. As of writing, the pair was trading at 1.4156, still erasing 0.3% on a daily basis.

CAD continues to react to fluctuations in crude oil prices

The pair edged higher during the Asian trading hours after crude oil came under strong pressure on news of OPEC+ emergency meeting getting postponed to Thursday. Although the barrel of West Texas Intermediate erased a large portion of its early losses, it struggled to climbs above and made it difficult for the CAD to stay strong against its peers. At the moment, the barrel of WTI is down 4.65% on the day at $27.45.

On the other hand, the US Dollar Index is posting modest daily gains near 100.80 on Monday to keep the pair's recovery momentum intact.

There won't be any significant macroeconomic data releases from the US and investors will be paying close attention to the Bank of Canada's Business Outlook Survey, which is scheduled to be published at 1430 GMT. 

Technical levels to watch for

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.4159
Today Daily Change-0.0051
Today Daily Change %-0.36
Today daily open1.421
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.4123
Daily SMA501.3622
Daily SMA1001.3385
Daily SMA2001.3293
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.4225
Previous Daily Low1.4094
Previous Weekly High1.4349
Previous Weekly Low1.3983
Previous Monthly High1.4668
Previous Monthly Low1.3315
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.4175
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.4144
Daily Pivot Point S11.4128
Daily Pivot Point S21.4046
Daily Pivot Point S31.3998
Daily Pivot Point R11.4259
Daily Pivot Point R21.4307
Daily Pivot Point R31.4389

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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