|

USD/CAD Price Forecast: Holds losses below 1.3950, lower rectangle boundary

  • USD/CAD may find immediate support at the 50-day EMA at 1.3915.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index has slipped below the 50 mark, signaling increasing selling pressure.
  • The primary barrier lies at the nine-day EMA of 1.3979.

USD/CAD extends its losses for the third successive session, trading around 1.3930 during the early European hours on Wednesday. The short-term price momentum is weaker as the pair is falling below the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved below the 50 level, suggesting a shift in momentum toward bearish territory.

The technical analysis of the daily chart suggests a potential bearish shift, as the USD/CAD pair is positioned slightly below the lower boundary of the rectangle pattern. Traders will likely follow through for bearish confirmation and avoid any bear trap.

On the downside, the immediate support lies at the 50-day EMA at 1.3915, followed by the psychological level of 1.3900. A break below this crucial support zone would indicate a bearish continuation and put downward pressure on the USD/CAD pair to navigate the region around the “throwback support” near the three-month low of 1.3721, which was recorded on August 7.

A rebound to the rectangle would continue the USD/CAD pair to walk sideways, targeting the initial barrier at the nine-day EMA of 1.3979. A break above this level would strengthen the short-term price momentum and support the pair in exploring the area around the rectangle’s upper boundary, near 1.4060, followed by the six-month high of 1.4079, reached on October 14.

USD/CAD: Daily Chart

Canadian Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Canadian Dollar (CAD) against listed major currencies today. Canadian Dollar was the strongest against the British Pound.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.14%0.34%-0.09%-0.14%-0.43%-0.12%0.25%
EUR-0.14%0.20%-0.14%-0.28%-0.57%-0.26%0.11%
GBP-0.34%-0.20%-0.34%-0.48%-0.78%-0.46%-0.09%
JPY0.09%0.14%0.34%-0.12%-0.41%-0.09%0.28%
CAD0.14%0.28%0.48%0.12%-0.31%0.02%0.39%
AUD0.43%0.57%0.78%0.41%0.31%0.32%0.69%
NZD0.12%0.26%0.46%0.09%-0.02%-0.32%0.38%
CHF-0.25%-0.11%0.09%-0.28%-0.39%-0.69%-0.38%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Canadian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent CAD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD accelerates losses, focus is on 1.1800

EUR/USD’s selling pressure is gathering pace now, opening the door to a potential test of the key 1.1800 region sooner rather than later. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of marked gains in the US Dollar following US data releases and the publication of the FOMC Minutes later in the day.

GBP/USD turns negative near 1.3540

GBP/USD reverses its initial upside momentum and is now adding to previous declines, revisiting at the same time the 1.3540 region on Wednesday. Cable’s downtick comes on the back of decent gains in the Greenback and easing UK inflation figures, which seem to have reinforced the case for a BoE rate cut in March.

Gold picks pace, flirts with $5,000

Gold is back on the front foot on Wednesday, shaking off part of the early week softness and pushing higher towards the key $5,000 mark per troy ounce. The move comes ahead of the FOMC Minutes and is unfolding despite an intense rebound in the US Dollar.

Fed Minutes to shed light on January hold decision amid hawkish rate outlook

The Minutes of the Fed’s January 27-28 monetary policy meeting will be published today. Details of discussions on the decision to leave the policy rate unchanged will be scrutinized by investors.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.