|

USD/CAD Price Forecast: Could test 1.4200 barrier near nine-day EMA

  • USD/CAD trades within a falling wedge pattern, a bullish formation that indicates a potential breakout to the upside.
  • The pair could find immediate support around the falling wedge’s lower boundary at 1.4100.
  • The immediate resistance zone appears near the nine-day EMA at 1.4230, aligned with the upper boundary of the falling wedge.

The USD/CAD pair gives up its recent gains from the previous session, trading near 1.4180 during Asian hours on Wednesday. Technical analysis on the daily chart suggests a falling wedge pattern, a bullish formation that suggests a potential breakout to the upside.

Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above the 30 level, supporting the current bearish outlook. However, a decline below 30 would indicate oversold conditions for the USD/CAD pair, potentially hinting at an upcoming upward correction.

However, the USD/CAD pair remains below the nine- and 14-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), indicating persistent bearish sentiment and weak short-term price action. This positioning suggests continued selling pressure.

On the downside, the USD/CAD pair may find immediate support at the lower boundary of the falling wedge, aligning with the psychological level of 1.4100. A break below this channel would strengthen the bearish bias, potentially driving the pair toward the three-month low of 1.3927, last reached on November 25.

The USD/CAD pair may encounter immediate resistance near the nine-day EMA at 1.4230, which aligns with the upper boundary of the falling wedge. A further hurdle is seen at the 14-day EMA of 1.4263. A breakout above this key resistance zone could shift the bias to bullish, potentially driving the pair toward the psychological level of 1.4300.

USD/CAD: Daily Chart

(This story was corrected on February 19 at 10:49 GMT to say that the pair could find immediate support around the falling wedge’s lower boundary at 1.4100, not the falling wedge’s higher boundary.)

Canadian Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Canadian Dollar (CAD) against listed major currencies today. Canadian Dollar was the weakest against the New Zealand Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD -0.05%-0.09%-0.18%-0.05%-0.19%-0.31%-0.03%
EUR0.05% -0.04%-0.11%-0.01%-0.15%-0.26%0.01%
GBP0.09%0.04% -0.10%0.05%-0.11%-0.22%0.05%
JPY0.18%0.11%0.10% 0.11%-0.03%-0.16%0.12%
CAD0.05%0.00%-0.05%-0.11% -0.14%-0.27%0.01%
AUD0.19%0.15%0.11%0.03%0.14% -0.12%0.16%
NZD0.31%0.26%0.22%0.16%0.27%0.12% 0.28%
CHF0.03%-0.01%-0.05%-0.12%-0.01%-0.16%-0.28% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Canadian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent CAD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases from around 1.1800 after US GDP figures

The US Dollar is finding some near-term demand after the release of the US Q3 GDP. According to the report, the economy expanded at an annualized rate of 4.3% in the three months to September, well above the 3.3% forecast by market analysts.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD retreats from session highs and trades slightly below 1.3500 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The US Dollar stages a rebound following the better-than-expected Q3 growth data, limiting the pair's upside ahead of the Christmas break.

Gold to challenge fresh record highs

Gold prices soared to $4,497 early on Monday, as persistent US Dollar weakness and thinned holiday trading exacerbated the bullish run. The bright metal eases following the release of an upbeat US Q3 GDP reading, as USD finds near-term demand in the American session.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP decline as risk-off sentiment escalates

Bitcoin remains under pressure, trading above the $87,000 support at the time of writing on Tuesday. Selling pressure has continued to weigh on the broader cryptocurrency market since Monday, triggering declines across altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

Dogecoin ticks lower as low Open Interest, funding rate weigh on buyers

Dogecoin extends its decline as risk-off sentiment dominates across the crypto market. DOGE’s derivatives market remains weak amid suppressed futures Open Interest and perpetual funding rate.