|

USD/CAD Price Forecast: Could test 1.4200 barrier near nine-day EMA

  • USD/CAD trades within a falling wedge pattern, a bullish formation that indicates a potential breakout to the upside.
  • The pair could find immediate support around the falling wedge’s lower boundary at 1.4100.
  • The immediate resistance zone appears near the nine-day EMA at 1.4230, aligned with the upper boundary of the falling wedge.

The USD/CAD pair gives up its recent gains from the previous session, trading near 1.4180 during Asian hours on Wednesday. Technical analysis on the daily chart suggests a falling wedge pattern, a bullish formation that suggests a potential breakout to the upside.

Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above the 30 level, supporting the current bearish outlook. However, a decline below 30 would indicate oversold conditions for the USD/CAD pair, potentially hinting at an upcoming upward correction.

However, the USD/CAD pair remains below the nine- and 14-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), indicating persistent bearish sentiment and weak short-term price action. This positioning suggests continued selling pressure.

On the downside, the USD/CAD pair may find immediate support at the lower boundary of the falling wedge, aligning with the psychological level of 1.4100. A break below this channel would strengthen the bearish bias, potentially driving the pair toward the three-month low of 1.3927, last reached on November 25.

The USD/CAD pair may encounter immediate resistance near the nine-day EMA at 1.4230, which aligns with the upper boundary of the falling wedge. A further hurdle is seen at the 14-day EMA of 1.4263. A breakout above this key resistance zone could shift the bias to bullish, potentially driving the pair toward the psychological level of 1.4300.

USD/CAD: Daily Chart

(This story was corrected on February 19 at 10:49 GMT to say that the pair could find immediate support around the falling wedge’s lower boundary at 1.4100, not the falling wedge’s higher boundary.)

Canadian Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Canadian Dollar (CAD) against listed major currencies today. Canadian Dollar was the weakest against the New Zealand Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD -0.05%-0.09%-0.18%-0.05%-0.19%-0.31%-0.03%
EUR0.05% -0.04%-0.11%-0.01%-0.15%-0.26%0.01%
GBP0.09%0.04% -0.10%0.05%-0.11%-0.22%0.05%
JPY0.18%0.11%0.10% 0.11%-0.03%-0.16%0.12%
CAD0.05%0.00%-0.05%-0.11% -0.14%-0.27%0.01%
AUD0.19%0.15%0.11%0.03%0.14% -0.12%0.16%
NZD0.31%0.26%0.22%0.16%0.27%0.12% 0.28%
CHF0.03%-0.01%-0.05%-0.12%-0.01%-0.16%-0.28% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Canadian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent CAD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).