|

USD/CAD Price Forecast: Challenges EMAs resistance in a bid to reach 1.3800

  • USD/CAD may find initial support at the rectangle’s lower boundary around 1.3730.
  • The market outlook is bearish as the 14-day RSI remains below the 50 level.
  • The pair tests the immediate resistance at the 50-day EMA of 1.3776, followed by the nine-day EMA at 1.3786.

USD/CAD continues to gain ground for the second successive session, trading around 1.3780 during the European hours on Tuesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart suggests that the pair moves sideways within a rectangular pattern, suggesting a consolidation phase.

However, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is positioned slightly below the 50 level, indicating a bearish outlook. Further movements will offer a clear directional trend. Additionally, the USD/CAD pair is positioned below the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), suggesting the short-term price momentum is weaker.

The USD/CAD pair may find its initial support at the lower boundary of the rectangle around 1.3730, followed by the psychological level of 1.3700. A break below this crucial support zone would strengthen the bearish bias and put downward pressure on the pair to navigate the region around the 11-month low of 1.3539.

On the upside, the USD/CAD pair is testing its immediate barrier at the 50-day EMA of 1.3776, with the nine-day EMA at 1.3786 acting as the next hurdle. A successful break above this crucial resistance zone could improve the short- and medium-term price momentum and lead the pair to test the four-month high at 1.3924, which was recorded on August 22, followed by the upper boundary of the rectangle around 1.3940.

Further advances will reinforce the bullish bias and support the pair to approach the five-month high at 1.4016, which was reached on May 13.

USD/CAD: Daily Chart

Canadian Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Canadian Dollar (CAD) against listed major currencies today. Canadian Dollar was the weakest against the US Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.61%1.05%0.89%0.16%0.63%0.77%0.46%
EUR-0.61%0.43%0.29%-0.44%0.07%0.17%-0.15%
GBP-1.05%-0.43%-0.14%-0.86%-0.37%-0.27%-0.57%
JPY-0.89%-0.29%0.14%-0.72%-0.26%-0.11%-0.38%
CAD-0.16%0.44%0.86%0.72%0.44%0.63%0.30%
AUD-0.63%-0.07%0.37%0.26%-0.44%0.11%-0.20%
NZD-0.77%-0.17%0.27%0.11%-0.63%-0.11%-0.30%
CHF-0.46%0.15%0.57%0.38%-0.30%0.20%0.30%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Canadian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent CAD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD stays bid above 0.7100 on Australian trade data, Mideast optimism

AUD/USD clings to minor recovery gains above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Thursday as a new Israel-Lebanon ceasefire keeps a lid on the safe-haven US Dollar. Meanwhile, strong AustralianTrade Balane data also help the Aussie pair sustain the bounce from weekly lows.

USD/JPY hovers near the 160.00 intervention threshold on Mideast tensions

USD/JPY struggles to find acceptance above 160.00 and retreats from a one-month high in the Asian session on Thursday amid fears that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. Furthermore, a new Israel-Lebanon ceasefire caps the US Dollar and supports the currency pair. However, renewed US-Iran tensions keep the downside limited in the Greenback and the pair.

Gold rebounds from one-week low as Israel-Lebanon truce pressures safe-haven USD

Gold gains some positive traction on Thursday and climbs to the $4,475 area during the Asian session, reversing a major part of the previous day's slide to a one-week low. The Israel-Lebanon truce prompts some profit-taking around the US Dollar and supports the commodity. 


Hyperliquid: ETF demand, capital rotation fuel HYPE rally as Bitcoin melts

Hyperliquid price sustains an upward trend near its all-time high of $75.76 on Thursday after posting 80% gains in May, while Bitcoin (BTC) retraces below $65,000, triggering a market-wide panic.

Kevin Warsh takes the Fed helm: What it means for the US Dollar
The Federal Reserve moves away from the highly predictable "forward guidance" model of the Jerome Powell era to a new “Kevin Warsh environment”, characterized by less communication, more policy surprises, and an increased focus on the Fed's complex balance sheet.
Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.