|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: The bearish playbook is unfolding, daily M-formation in focus

  • USD/CAD is carving out a bearish structure on the daily chart. 
  • Some consolidation would be expected prior to the next downside move with 1.2600 eyed.

As per the start of the week's analysis, The Chart of the Week: USD/CAD has complied with the medium-term bearish bias, the price is adhering to the market's structure and the following illustrates the bearish perspective:

USD/CAD daily chart, prior analysis

As illustrated above, the head and shoulders were in the making...

USD/CAD daily chart analysis

The price is now leaving an M-formation on the chart as illustrated above and is drawing the bulls into the neckline. 

This can be seen on the 4-hour time frame as in the following prior analysis:

As seen, the prior analysis at the start of the week forecasted a move into the 1.27 area and it has played out as follows:

USD/CAD H4 chart

We can now expect the price to mitigate the imbalance to a restest of what would be expected to act as support on first attempts near 1.2650. This could lead to a deeper bullish correction into the daily M-formation's neckline near 1.2700/10 again prior to a full-on downside break to test 1.26 the figure. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD holds above 1.3350 with the 200-day SMA capping gains

The British Pound appreciates against the US Dollar on Tuesday to trim previous losses and return to the 1.3375 area, aiming to retest resistance at the key 200-day Simple Moving Average. This is a popular indicator, which lies a few pips below 1.3400 and has been capping Pound’s recovery over the last two weeks.

EUR/USD holds gains near 1.1400 ahead of US CPI

EUR/USD extends gains and retakes 1.1400 in the European session on Tuesday. The US Dollar sees a profit-taking pullback, supporting the pair's rebound. However, the potential upside for the pair might be limited amid renewed US military strikes against Iran and ahead of the US CPI data and Fed Chair Warsh's testimony.

Gold sticks to gains above $4,000 ahead of US CPI, Fed's Warsh

Gold trims a part of its modest intraday recovery gains and remains within striking distance of a nearly two-week low touched earlier this Tuesday. The commodity, however, sticks to a positive bias above the $4,000 psychological mark through the first half of the European session amid mixed cues.

Major Altcoins: XRP, ADA and SOL remain vulnerable as bearish grip tightens

Major altcoins in the crypto market, such as Ripple, Cardano, and Solana, are trading in the red on Tuesday, extending their 2% to 3% decline from the previous day. The technical outlook for XRP, ADA, and SOL shows a near-term bearish bias, with prices trending below their respective 50-day EMAs.

US CPI data set to show inflation cooled in June due to tumbling fuel prices

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the June Consumer Price Index data on Tuesday. The report is expected to show a decline in consumer inflation, driven by the easing of crude Oil prices following the ceasefire announcement between the United States and Iran.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June FOMC meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.