- USD/CAD refreshes a five-month high near 1.3670 as the BoC is expected to keep interest rates unchanged.
- The BoC might keep interest rates unchanged at 5% as hiring and consumer spending slowed due to higher inflation.
- USD/CAD recovered sharply after sensing decent buying interest near the 20-day EMA.
The USD/CAD pair prints a fresh five-month high at 1.3670 ahead of the interest rate decision by the Bank of Canada (BoC), which will be announced on Wednesday. Investors anticipate that the policy divergence between the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the BoC will remain stable as the latter is expected to keep the monetary policy unchanged.
BoC Governor Tiff Macklem might keep interest rates unchanged at 5% as hiring and consumer spending slowed due to higher inflationary pressures.
S&P500 futures posted nominal losses in the European session, indicating a cautious opening after an extended weekend. The US Dollar Index (DXY) prints a fresh five-month higher at 104.70 as US recession fears receded due to cooling inflation and a stable job market. The 10-year US Treasury yields climb to near 4.23%. A power-pack action is anticipated from the USD Index in the New York session as US markets will open after a long weekend.
USD/CAD extends its rally and prints a fresh five-month high at 1.3670. The pair recovered sharply after sensing decent buying interest near the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) around 1.3520. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) trades in the bullish range of 60.00-80.00, and is not showing signs of oversold and divergence.
For more upside, the Loonie asset needs to surpass the round-level resistance of 1.3700 decisively, which will open doors for further upside to March 27 high at 1.3746 and March 24 high around 1.3800.
On the flip side, a breakdown below September 1 low around 1.3490 would drag the asset towards August 15 low around 1.3440, followed by July 7 high at 1.3387.
USD/CAD daily chart
-638295134610459159.png)
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD tumbles toward 1.1450 as geopolitical tensions escalate
EUR/USD stays under bearish pressure and falls toward 1.1450 on Monday. The renewed US Dollar buying, amid the deepening crisis in the Middle East, and mixed PMI data releases from Germany and the Eurozone weigh on the pair as focus shifts to US data and central bank talks.
Could Iran block the Strait of Hormuz? Why Oil is on edge after US strikes
As the Israel-Iran conflict reaches new heights, an old threat is coming back to haunt the markets: that of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. This narrow arm of the sea in the Persian Gulf, wedged between Iran to the north and the United Arab Emirates and Oman to the south, is much more than a simple sea passage.
Gold stays below $3,400 on broad USD strength
Gold stays on the back foot to start the week and trades below $3,400. Although XAU/USD's manages to limit its losses, the US Dollar (USD) also benefits from escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, making it difficult for the pair to gather recovery momentum.
Five fundamentals for the week: World anxiously awaits Iran's response Premium
The Middle East remains in the spotlight after a turbulent weekend. Fed Chair Jerome Powell faces lawmakers and may shed more light on the central bank's thinking, and a key inflation figure is expected later to promise a strong end to the week.
GBP/USD holds recovery above 1.3400, with eyes on UK PMI, Middle East woes
GBP/USD is holding its rebound above 1.3400 in the European session on Monday. The fears that Iran would retaliate against US attacks on its nuclear sites continue to support the safe-haven US Dollar. Investors await the June preliminary PMI readings from the UK and the US for fresh trading directives.
The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD
SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.