|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Pierces monthly resistance line but 21-DMA probes bulls

  • USD/CAD picks up bids to refresh intraday high, extends bounce off 1.5-month low.
  • Firmer RSI, looming bull cross on MACD keep buyers hopeful.
  • 100-DMA appears crucial hurdle for the bulls to cross.
  • Pullback remains elusive unless the quote stays beyond 1.3300.

USD/CAD holds onto the week-start recovery from a six-week low as it crosses the monthly resistance line during early Tuesday, refreshing intraday high around 1.3415 by the press time.

In doing so, the Loonie pair justifies the rebound from the 1.3300 round figure, as well as the recovery in the RSI (14) line. With this, the MACD also teases buyers and adds strength to the upside bias.

However, the 21-DMA hurdle surrounding 1.3425 holds the key for the USD/CAD pair’s further upside towards the 1.3500 round figure.

In a case where the Loonie pair remains firmer past 1.3500, the January 19 swing high near 1.3520 and the 100-DMA hurdle surrounding 1.3530 could probe the bulls before directing them to the monthly high of 1.3680.

It’s worth noting that the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the USD/CAD pair’s October-November downside, near 1.3690, precedes the 1.3700 round figure to act as the last defense of the bears.

On the contrary, a daily closing below the stated resistance line, close to 1.3400 by the press time, could renew the downside move targeting the latest swing low near 1.3300.

However, any further weakness in the USD/CAD price won’t hesitate to challenge the late 2022 bottom near 1.3225.

USD/CAD: Daily chart

Trend: Further upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.3414
Today Daily Change0.0025
Today Daily Change %0.19%
Today daily open1.3389
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3424
Daily SMA501.3501
Daily SMA1001.3529
Daily SMA2001.3212
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3389
Previous Daily Low1.33
Previous Weekly High1.3428
Previous Weekly Low1.33
Previous Monthly High1.3705
Previous Monthly Low1.3385
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3355
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3334
Daily Pivot Point S11.333
Daily Pivot Point S21.327
Daily Pivot Point S31.324
Daily Pivot Point R11.3419
Daily Pivot Point R21.3449
Daily Pivot Point R31.3509

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bounces back toward 0.6950 on fresh USD supply

AUD/USD bounces back toward 0.6950 in the Asian session on Friday. The US Dollar retreats from 17-month highs as traders take profits off the table ahead of the all-important US Nonfarm Payrolls report. Meanwhile, the Australian Dollar draws support from reviving expectations of a November interest rate hike amid elevated global yields and inflation risks.


USD/JPY struggles near 158.00 as USD retreats ahead of NFP

USD/JPY is struggling for fresh impetus near 158.00, moving away from the top end of its weekly range in the Asian session on Friday, after hotter-than-expected Tokyo CPI and amid a broad US Dollar retreat. Traders reposition themselves ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls.

Gold fades the earlier optimism; back below $4,200

Gold could not sustain the post-NFP bull run past the $4,200 mark per troy ounce, receding toward the $4,180 region at the end of the week. The precious metal’s inconclusive price action comes amid fresh selling pressure hurting the US Dollar as investors assess the latest NFP data.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP gains reinforce bullish outlook

Cryptocurrency prices are broadly recovering on Friday, led by Bitcoin moving above $86,000. Ethereum has reaffirmed its bullish outlook, rising above $2,700 while the immediate area at $2,800 caps upside. Meanwhile, Ripple hovers near $1.54.

Week ahead – Fed minutes in the spotlight amid bond market rout

Energy crisis and soaring bond yields to stay in driver’s seat in quiet week. Fed minutes eyed after drop in October rate hike bets. ISM services PMI and Treasury auctions to be watched too. Canadian employment, Japanese wages and ECB minutes also on tap.

The Euro is near a one-year low: Inflation could trigger its rebound, not its fall

EUR/USD has fallen to its lowest level since May 2025. The pair hit 1.1312 on Wednesday and trades well below the January peak of 1.2082. The decline reflects a powerful combination of US Dollar strength, geopolitical uncertainty and renewed concerns about Europe's exposure to higher energy prices.