|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Picks strength around 1.3550 as anxiety soars ahead of US NFP

  • Advancing anxiety ahead of the US NFP release has underpinned the risk-off impulse.
  • S&P500 futures have witnessed a drop in their early gains, portraying negative market sentiment.
  • The upside in the Loonie asset is capped around 1.3700 while the downside is restricted near 1.3500.

The USD/CAD pair has rebounded firmly after dropping to near 1.3550 in the early European session. The Loonie asset has sensed a decent demand as traction has shifted in the favor of safe-haven assets. Also, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has scaled to near the crucial resistance of 105.00, at the time of writing, as anxiety among market participants has soared ahead of the release of the United States Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data.

Gains recorded in the S&P500 futures in early Asia have trimmed significantly as investors are preferring in avoiding positions in the US equities till the release of the employment data for making informed decisions.

A scrutiny of USD/CAD on a four-hour scale indicates that the upside of the asset is capped around the horizontal resistance plotted from December 7 high at 1.3700 while the downside is restricted around the demand zone placed in a 1.3480-1.3500 range. The 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3567 is overlapping with the Lonnie price, which indicates a rangebound structure.

Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating in a 40.00-60.00 range, which signifies that investors are waiting for a fresh trigger for making positions.

Going forward, a decisive break above the December 16 high around 1.3700 will strengthen the US Dollar and will drive the Loonie asset toward October 25 high at 1.3748 and November 3 high at 1.3808.

On the contrary, the major could drop to November 23 high at 1.3440 after surrendering the psychological support of 1.3500. Later on, a slippage below 1.3440 will expose the Loonie asset for more downside towards December 5 low at 1.3385.

USD/CAD four-hour chart

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3572
Today Daily Change-0.0009
Today Daily Change %-0.07
Today daily open1.3581
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3598
Daily SMA501.3525
Daily SMA1001.3471
Daily SMA2001.3143
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3596
Previous Daily Low1.347
Previous Weekly High1.3612
Previous Weekly Low1.3484
Previous Monthly High1.3705
Previous Monthly Low1.3385
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3548
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3518
Daily Pivot Point S11.3503
Daily Pivot Point S21.3424
Daily Pivot Point S31.3378
Daily Pivot Point R11.3628
Daily Pivot Point R21.3674
Daily Pivot Point R31.3753

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).