USD/CAD Price Analysis: More gains in pipeline above 1.3670 amid risk-off mood

USD/CAD is struggling to surpass 1.3650, however, the upside looks favored amid strength in the USD Index.
The Canadian Dollar witnessed immense heat on Tuesday after releasing weak GDP (Q4) figures.
The RSI (14) has shifted into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00 after a long period of more than four months.

Sagar Dua FXStreet

The USD/CAD pair has delivered a minor corrective move after failing to continue its upside momentum above 1.3650 in the early Asian session. The Loonie asset is expected to recover the corrective move as the US Dollar is extremely solid amid rising bets for more rates by the Federal Reserve (Fed) as inflation in the United States economy is getting more stubborn.

The Canadian Dollar witnessed immense heat on Tuesday after releasing weak Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (Q4) numbers. The annualized GDP remained flat lower than the expectations of 1.5% and the former release of 2.3%. While the monthly GDP (Dec) contracted by 0.1% vs. a flat consensus.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is aiming to cross the immediate resistance of 104.60 as the risk-aversion theme has been strengthened amid hawkish Fed bets and geopolitical tensions. S&P500 was offered on Tuesday as investors see recession amid deepening rate hike discussions among Fed policymakers.

USD/CAD is meaningfully strengthened after delivering a breakout of the downward-sloping trendline plotted from October 13 high at 1.3978 on a daily scale. The 10-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3558 is providing cushion to the US Dollar bulls.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00 after a long period of more than four months. More upside looks favored as the momentum oscillator is not showing any sign of divergence and overbought levels.

The Loonie asset is expected to add more gains after surpassing February 24 high at 1.3665, which will drive the asset toward the horizontal resistance plotted from December 07 high around 1.3700 followed by November 03 high around 1.3800.

Alternatively, a break below February 6 high at 1.3474 will drag the asset to near January 26 high around 1.3408. A slippage below the same will expose the asset to February 16 low around 1.3357.

USD/CAD daily chart

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price	1.3641
Today Daily Change	0.0065
Today Daily Change %	0.48
Today daily open	1.3576

Trends
Daily SMA20	1.3434
Daily SMA50	1.346
Daily SMA100	1.351
Daily SMA200	1.3268

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.3624
Previous Daily Low	1.3534
Previous Weekly High	1.3666
Previous Weekly Low	1.3441
Previous Monthly High	1.3685
Previous Monthly Low	1.33
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.3569
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1.359
Daily Pivot Point S1	1.3531
Daily Pivot Point S2	1.3487
Daily Pivot Point S3	1.3441
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.3622
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.3669
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.3713

Author

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

GBP/USD hits multi-week tops around 1.3560

GBP/USD gathers fresh steam and advances to new three-month peaks near the 1.3560 zone on Friday. Cable’s sharp move higher comes after three daily drops in a row and follows the increasing selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD pops to fresh two-month highs, targets 1.1600

EUR/USD advances markedly, revisiting the upper 1.1500s for the first time since mid-June. The pair’s sharp uptick comes on the back of a strong retracement in the US Dollar amid BoJ intervention chatter and despite steady uncertainty in the Middle East.

Gold extends its struggle with $4,400, but bullish bias intact

Gold is holding the previous recovery from near $4,300 on early Monday, struggling around the key $4,400 level. However, buyers retain control as the new week kicks in, with all eyes on the Middle East updates and the Minutes of the US Federal Reserve July monetary policy meeting.

Bitcoin holds critical support, Ethereum awaits directional move, XRP weakens

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple begin the week on a cautious note after slipping over 3%, 1.5%, and 3.5%, respectively, in the previous week. BTC finds support around the key $62,300 level while ETH continues to trade sideways. Meanwhile, XRP hovers around $1.00, with weakening momentum suggesting deeper losses.

US Dollar Weekly Forecast: Economic cracks challenge Fed rate bets

It was a strange week for the US Dollar: while the geopolitical situation has remained largely unchanged, with the usual back-and-forth between the US, Iran, and occasional third parties, disappointing domestic data have re-emerged, reducing expectations of potential tightening by the Federal Reserve in the next few months.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?

Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.