|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Loonie bulls attack multi-day-old resistance of 1.3610 ahead of key catalysts

  • USD/CAD picks up bids to reverse the week-start retreat, poking downward-sloping resistance line from late April at the latest.
  • Sustained trading beyond the key Fibonacci ratio, 21-DMA favor Loonie pair buyers.
  • Nearly overbought RSI line suggests pullback; bulls should remain cautious below 1.3670.

USD/CAD pierces the 1.3600 threshold as buyers attack a downward-sloping resistance line from late April amid the very early Tuesday morning in Europe.

Also read: USD/CAD trades sideways below the 1.3600 mark, BoC rate decision, US Services PMI eyed

The Loonie pair justified overbought conditions of the RSI (14) line to retreat the previous day. Even so, the quote stayed beyond the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the March–July downside, not to mention its defense of the recovery from the 21-DMA.

Also keeping the USD/CAD buyers hopeful is the early-August run-up beyond the six-month-old previous resistance line.

Hence, the quote stays on the bull’s radar but the further upside appears limited, which in turn highlights the immediate resistance line surrounding 1.3610.

Following that, the previous monthly high of 1.3640 will precede the tops marked in May and April, respectively near 1.3655 and 1.3670, to challenge the USD/CAD buyers.

In a case where the Loonie pair buyers keep the reins past 1.3670, the odds of witnessing its gradual rise toward March’s peak of 1.3861 can’t be ruled out.

On the contrary, a daily closing beneath the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio and the 21-DMA, respectively near 1.3570 and 1.3530, becomes necessary to recall the USD/CAD bears.

In those conditions, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of .3480 could lure the USD/CAD sellers before challenging them with the 1.3400 support confluence comprising the 100-DMA and previous resistance line stretched from early March.

USD/CAD: Daily chart

Trend: Pullback expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.3607
Today Daily Change0.0016
Today Daily Change %0.12%
Today daily open1.3591
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3525
Daily SMA501.3355
Daily SMA1001.3398
Daily SMA2001.3464
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3605
Previous Daily Low1.3576
Previous Weekly High1.3637
Previous Weekly Low1.3489
Previous Monthly High1.364
Previous Monthly Low1.3184
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3587
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3593
Daily Pivot Point S11.3576
Daily Pivot Point S21.3561
Daily Pivot Point S31.3547
Daily Pivot Point R11.3605
Daily Pivot Point R21.362
Daily Pivot Point R31.3634

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).