USD/CAD Price Analysis: Consolidating before moving to 1.3270 support confluence

USD/CAD holds lower ground at weekly bottom, pressured after two-day downtrend.
Clear downside break of key EMA, Fibonacci retracement join looming bear cross on MACD to lure bears.
Monthly resistance line, descending trend line from October challenge pair buyers.

Anil Panchal FXStreet

USD/CAD remains depressed around 1.3330 even as bulls and bears jostle during early Tuesday, due to the market’s inaction ahead of the key US inflation data. In doing so, the Loonie pair probes the two-day losing streak at the lowest levels in more than a week.

It’s worth noting that the quote’s sustained downside break of the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the September-October upside joins a looming bear cross on the MACD to keep USD/CAD sellers hopeful.

As a result, a convergence of the ascending trend line from mid-November and the 200-day EMA, around 1.3270 by the press time, gains major attention.

Should the pair offers a clear downside break of the 1.3270 key level, the last November’s low near 1.3225 may act as a validation point for the south-run targeting the September 2022 bottom surrounding 1.2955. It should be observed that the 1.3100 and the 1.3000 round figures may act as intermediate halts during the anticipated fall.

Meanwhile, the stated key Fibonacci retracement level, also known as the golden ratio, guards immediate USD/CAD rebound near 1.3345, a break of which highlights the 100-day EMA level of 1.3410.

Following that, a descending resistance line from January 19 and a four-month-old downward-sloping trend line, respectively around 1.3455 and 1.3530, could challenge the USD/CAD bulls.

USD/CAD: Daily chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price	1.3334
Today Daily Change	-0.0002
Today Daily Change %	-0.01%
Today daily open	1.3336

Trends
Daily SMA20	1.3382
Daily SMA50	1.3487
Daily SMA100	1.3529
Daily SMA200	1.3238

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.338
Previous Daily Low	1.3325
Previous Weekly High	1.3476
Previous Weekly Low	1.3338
Previous Monthly High	1.3685
Previous Monthly Low	1.33
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.3346
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1.3359
Daily Pivot Point S1	1.3314
Daily Pivot Point S2	1.3292
Daily Pivot Point S3	1.3259
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.3369
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.3402
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.3424

Author

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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