|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Buyers flirt with 1.2750, six-week-old resistance in focus

  • USD/CAD grinds higher after Friday’s bounce off monthly support line.
  • Bull cross, firmer RSI also keep buyers hopeful, 1.2700 is a tough nut to crack for bears.
  • Descending trend line from early January holds the key to further upside.

USD/CAD remains on the front foot around 1.2750 during Monday’s initial Asian session, after posting the heaviest daily gains in over a week the previous day.

With Friday’s upbeat performance, the quote not only bounced off an upward sloping trend line from January 26 but also portrayed a bull cross on the daily chart. That said, the 21-DMA pierces the 50-DMA from below, which in turn suggests the pair’s further upside.

Also adding to the bullish bias is the firmer RSI line, recently around 55.00.

That said, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of December 2021 to January 2022 downside, near 1.2770, restricts the immediate upside of the USD/CAD prices.

However, major attention is given to a downward sloping resistance line from January 06, around 1.2780 at the latest.

Should the pair rise past-1.2780, the January 2021 peak of 1.2813 will lure the USD/CAD bulls.

On the contrary, pullback moves remain elusive beyond 1.2700 as the 21-DMA, the 50-DMA and the 50% Fibo. offer strong support around the stated level.

Even if the USD/CAD bears manage to conquer the 1.2700 mark, a one-month-long support line near 1.2690, will be important to watch before eyeing further downside.

USD/CAD: Daily chart

Trend: Further upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.2751
Today Daily Change-0.0009
Today Daily Change %-0.07%
Today daily open1.276
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2705
Daily SMA501.2709
Daily SMA1001.2625
Daily SMA2001.2542
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2761
Previous Daily Low1.2674
Previous Weekly High1.2784
Previous Weekly Low1.2664
Previous Monthly High1.2814
Previous Monthly Low1.2451
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2727
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2707
Daily Pivot Point S11.2702
Daily Pivot Point S21.2645
Daily Pivot Point S31.2615
Daily Pivot Point R11.2789
Daily Pivot Point R21.2819
Daily Pivot Point R31.2876

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.1750 on first trading day of 2026

EUR/USD stays calm on Friday and trades in a narrow channel at around 1.1750 as trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes above 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and moves sideways above 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold reverses its direction and advances toward $4,400 after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking before the New Year holiday. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).