|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Bulls moving in for the kill, 38.2% Fibo 1.2550 eyed

  • USD/CAD bulls are stepping in at a demand area on the daily chart.
  • The lower time frames offer structural targets at 1.2550 and 1.2580.

USD/CAD, following a break of the head and shoulders neckline as per prior analysisUSD/CAD Price Analysis: Bears to target 1.2480 on a breakout below daily H&S neckline, has started to stall in the decline. 

While there is still every possibility that it can continue lower, a deeper correction could be on the cards as follows:

USD/CAD daily chart

The daily chart shows that the price has run into an area of demand and has stalled. This exposes the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level near 1.2550 for the forthcoming sessions. 

USD/CAD H4 chart

When moving down to the 4-hour time frame, we see that there was some demand in this area during the bearish run. In turn, we can expect the price to be drawn to this liquidity pool should the bulls manage to break the first layer of resistance around 1.25 the figure. 

USD/CAD H1 chart

On the hourly time frame, the daily 50% mean reversion level comes in near hourly structure higher up around 1.2580 that currently has a confluence of the 100-hour EMA. If the bulls manage to clear 1.2550 and stay in control, this could be the next level of interest. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.1750 on first trading day of 2026

EUR/USD stays calm on Friday and trades in a narrow channel at around 1.1750 as trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes above 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and moves sideways above 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold reverses its direction and advances toward $4,400 after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking before the New Year holiday. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).