|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Bears line up for their discounts

  • USD/CAD bulls run into a wall of resistance and the bears are lurking, hungry for a discount.
  • USD/CAD bears need to break 1.27 the figure for a bearish structure to really take shape.

USD/CAD is forming the makings of a bearish outlook despite the hawkish Federal Reserve. The price has run higher in the bullish correction of the bearish daily impulse, but should the bears engage at a discount, then the focus will be on a break to the downside as follows:

USD/CAD daily charts

The price, in doing so, will have completed a head and shoulders as follows:

USD/CAD H&S

The head and shoulders is a topping formation, so the price would be expected to run significantly lower on a break and retest of the neckline near 1.2630. 

1.2520 will be earmarked as per the dynamic trendline support:

USD/CAD 4-hour chart

The bears would be prudent to wait to engage on a retest of the 4-hour support just below 1.27 the figure that would be expected to act as a resistance on a break thereof. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).