|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Bears in control and eye lower to 1.3320

  • US Dollar under pressure, commodities up. 
  • USD/CAD bears eye 1.3320 for the coming sessions and lower for the upcoming days. 

In the prior analysis, USD/CAD Price Analysis: Bears are in the market and eye test of 1.3400, which arrived at a bearish bias, it stated that on the hourly chart, ´´we can see that the price is being rejected at old support again. A 38.2% Fibonacci retracement aligns with prior support that would be expected to act as resistance on a restest while the bears commit to the front side of the bearish trend. This in turn could lead to an additional push lower and into the target area of the 1.3400s.´´

USD/CAD prior analysis

USD/CAD H1 chart

USD/CAD, live updates

As illustrated, the price dropped into the target on the test of the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement in a textbook outcome. 

Meanwhile, the US Dollar came under further pressure on Thursday and markets have jumped at the opportunity to long commodities as per the following CRB chart:

As such, the Canadian Dollar has found support, sending USD/CAD down like a stone and in line with the prior analysis:

Before:

After:

The forecast is into the 1.3270s for the coming days on a break of 1.3320:

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD revisits 1.3530; Dollar pushes harder

GBP/USD adds to the weekly correction and recedes toward the 1.3530 zone on Friday. Indeed, Cable faces increasing selling pressure on the back of extra gains in the Greenback, particularly fuelled by Chair Warsh’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium and the US NFP Annual Revision (-79K).

EUR/USD breaches below 1.1600, multi-day lows

EUR/USD now accelerates its decline and retreats to seven-day troughs in the sub-1.1600 region at the end of the week. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of the strong rebound in the US Dollar after Chair Warsh delivered a hawkish message in Jackson Hole, while the US NFP Annual Revision came in at -79K.

Gold battles key support amid renewed Iran and Fed hike risks

Gold is resuming Friday’s steep downside early Monday as the NFP week kicks in. US Dollar sees a profit-taking pullback, despite hawkish Fed’s Warsh and fresh Iran risks. Gold attacks 21-day SMA near $4,400 after Friday’s close below 200-day SMA; RSI is still bullish.

Week ahead: RBNZ and BoC decide on rates ahead of all-important US NFP
The US dollar staged a modest recovery this week, perhaps as traders decided to cover some of their short positions amid slightly stickier or in-line US PCE inflation numbers for July, confounding expectations of softer prints amid the softness revealed in the CPI data for the month.
Bitcoin slips below $78,000 – DEX tokens rally

Bitcoin price is trading above $77,000 on Monday, sustaining monthly gains of over 20% so far. The technical outlook for Bitcoin is bullish as the price holds above a crucial retracement support level at $76,706 amid broader market risk-on sentiment. Decentralized Exchange tokens, Uniswap and PancakeSwap, emerge as top performers over the last 24 hours, eyeing further gains.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.