USD/CAD: Oversold condition in the USD is developing – Scotiabank

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is little changed on the session, leaving spot pressed back up against yesterday’s intraday low around 1.3468, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes

CAD holds gains in upper 1.34s

“While factors continue to shift favourably for the CAD in broad terms, spot is trading further below our fair value estimate (1.3529) today. General USD weakness accounts for some of the discrepancy but position adjustment (CAD short covering) is also a likely driver of the CAD’s buoyancy at the moment.”

“Friday’s CFTC data reflected only a mild reduction in the recent build-up of (hefty) CAD shorting activity in the week through last Tuesday. Spot retains a weak technical undertone.

“Steady losses over the past four weeks have pushed the USD back to 1.3475 retracement support (61.8% of the 2024 move up) and trend strength oscillators are aligned bearishly across the intraday, daily and weekly studies. This tilts risks towards more USD weakness and suggests limited scope for USD rebounds. Oscillators are warning that an oversold condition in the USD is developing, however.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1850 as markets eye Eurozone GDP, US CPI inflation releases

The EUR/USD pair trades on a flat note near 1.1870 during the early Asian session on Friday. The major pair steadies amid mixed signals from the latest release of US economic indicators. Traders await the preliminary reading of the Eurozone Gross Domestic Product for the fourth quarter and US inflation data, which are published later on Friday.

GBP/USD consolidates around 1.3600 vs. USD; looks to US CPI for fresh impetus

The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive through the Asian session on Friday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the 1.3600 mark as traders await the release of the US consumer inflation figures before placing directional bets.

Gold recovers toward $5,000 as focus shifts to US CPI

Gold price is recovering ground toward $5,000 in the Asian session on Friday. The yellow metal tumbled roughly 3.50% on Thursday, with algorithmic traders appearing to amplify the precious metal’s sudden drop. Traders will closely monitor the release of the US Consumer Price Index inflation report for January, which will be released later on Friday.

Ethereum investors face huge unrealized losses following price slump

US spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds flipped negative again on Wednesday after recording net outflows of $129.1 million, reversing mild inflows seen at the beginning of the week, per SoSoValue data. Fidelity's FETH was responsible for more than half of withdrawals, posting outflows of $67 million.

A tale of two labour markets: Headline strength masks underlying weakness

Undoubtedly, yesterday’s delayed US January jobs report delivered a strong headline – one that surpassed most estimates. However, optimism quickly faded amid sobering benchmark revisions.

Aster Price Forecast: Demand sparks on Binance Wallet partnership for on-chain perpetuals

Aster is up roughly 9% so far on Thursday, hinting at the breakout of a crucial resistance level. Aster partners up with Binance wallet for the second season of the on-chain perpetuals challenge.