|

USD/CAD jumps to two-year highs above 1.3550 after disappointing Canada data

  • USD/CAD continues to trade in positive territory above 1.3500 on Friday.
  • The data from Canada showed that Retail Sales declined sharply in July.
  • The dollar preserves its strength amid risk aversion ahead of the weekend.

The USD/CAD pair retreated toward 1.3500 during the European trading hours but managed to gather bullish momentum in the second half of the day. As of writing, the pair was up 0.6% on the day at 1.3565, on track to its highest weekly close since June 2020.

The broad-based dollar strength on Friday helped USD/CAD gain traction. Boosted by safe-haven flows, the US Dollar Index, which tracks the dollar's performance against a basket of six major currencies, climbed above 112.00 for the first time in two decades. With Wall Street's main indexes losing more than 1% after the opening bell, the greenback continues to outperform its rivals and not allowing USD/CAD to stage a downward correction.

Meanwhile, the data published by Statistics Canada revealed that Retail Sales contracted by 2.5% on a monthly basis in July, compared to the market expectation for a decline of 2%. On top of the disappointing data from Canada, crude oil prices are down more than 5% on the day, further weighing on the commodity-sensitive loonie.

Disappointing PMI data from the euro area and the UK earlier in the day revived concerns over a global economic slowdown, causing investors to price in a worsening energy demand outlook. At the time of press, the barrel of West Texas Intermediate was trading at its lowest level since January near $79.

Market participants now await S&P Global's preliminary September Manufacturing and Services PMI data for the US.

Technical levels to watch for

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3536
Today Daily Change0.0048
Today Daily Change %0.36
Today daily open1.3488
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3174
Daily SMA501.3002
Daily SMA1001.2933
Daily SMA2001.2807
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3545
Previous Daily Low1.3409
Previous Weekly High1.3308
Previous Weekly Low1.2954
Previous Monthly High1.3141
Previous Monthly Low1.2728
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3493
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3461
Daily Pivot Point S11.3416
Daily Pivot Point S21.3345
Daily Pivot Point S31.328
Daily Pivot Point R11.3552
Daily Pivot Point R21.3616
Daily Pivot Point R31.3688

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.