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USD/CAD jumps back closer to mid-1.2500s, lacks follow-through

  • A modest USD rebound assisted USD/CAD to attract some buying near the 1.2480-70 region.
  • A turnaround in the global risk sentiment extended some support to the safe-haven greenback.
  • A pullback in crude oil prices undermined the loonie and provided an additional lift to the pair.

The USD/CAD pair recovered over 60 pips from intraday lows and refreshed daily tops, around the 1.2540 region during the mid-European session.

A turnaround in the global risk sentiment – as depicted by an intraday decline in the US equity futures – helped the US dollar to stall its recent decline to the lowest level since early March. Apart from this, a pullback in crude oil prices undermined the commodity-linked loonie and extended some support to the USD/CAD pair.

The pair once again found some support near the 1.2480-70 area and has now moved into the positive territory for the second consecutive session on Tuesday. That said, a fresh leg down in the US Treasury bond yields might hold the USD bulls from placing aggressive bets and keep a lid on any further upside for the USD/CAD pair.

The Fed's stubbornly dovish view that any spike in inflation will be transitory now seemed to have convinced investors that interest rates will remain near zero levels for a longer period. This, along with the recent sharp pullback in the US Treasury bond yields from the 14-month peak touched last month might cap any meaningful USD gains.

Investors might also refrain from placing aggressive bets, rather prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the latest monetary policy update by the Bank of Canada on Wednesday. This makes it prudent to wait for some strong follow-through buying before positioning for any further recovery move amid an empty US economic docket on Tuesday.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.253
Today Daily Change-0.0003
Today Daily Change %-0.02
Today daily open1.2533
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2563
Daily SMA501.2589
Daily SMA1001.268
Daily SMA2001.2951
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2544
Previous Daily Low1.2471
Previous Weekly High1.263
Previous Weekly Low1.2477
Previous Monthly High1.274
Previous Monthly Low1.2365
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2516
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2499
Daily Pivot Point S11.2488
Daily Pivot Point S21.2444
Daily Pivot Point S31.2416
Daily Pivot Point R11.2561
Daily Pivot Point R21.2589
Daily Pivot Point R31.2634

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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